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La Liga
Referee: Alberto Undiano
Real Madrid
S U T S T
0–2
Full-time
Betis
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 46%
57%
35%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
57%
49%
Both score Ø 51%
51%
51%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Betis 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 37 26 8 3 +54 86
2 Ath Madrid 38 22 10 6 +26 76
3 Real Madrid 37 21 5 11 +19 68
4 Valencia 38 15 16 7 +16 61
5 Sevilla 38 17 8 13 +15 59
6 Getafe 38 15 14 9 +13 59
7 Espanol 38 14 11 13 -2 53
8 Ath Bilbao 38 13 14 11 -4 53
9 Sociedad 38 13 11 14 -1 50
10 Alaves 38 13 11 14 -11 50
11 Betis 37 13 8 16 -10 47
12 Eibar 37 11 13 13 -4 46
13 Leganes 38 11 12 15 -6 45
14 Villarreal 38 10 14 14 -3 44
15 Levante 38 11 11 16 -7 44
16 Celta 38 10 11 17 -9 41
17 Valladolid 38 10 11 17 -19 41
18 Girona 38 9 10 19 -16 37
19 Huesca 38 7 12 19 -22 33
20 Vallecano 38 8 8 22 -29 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Madrid Betis
30′
🟨 Wilfrid Kaptoum
Marcos Llorente 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
Federico Valverde 🟨
49′
Daniel Carvajal 🟨
58′
Marco Asensio 🔁
↦ Brahim Díaz
60′
61′
Loren Morón 0–1
A. Guardado
68′
🔁 Jesé
↦ W. Kaptoum
Isco 🔁
↦ F. Valverde
69′
74′
🔁 Cristian Tello
↦ Loren Morón
75′
Jesé 0–2
Junior Firpo
Lucas Vázquez 🔁
↦ K. Benzema
76′
Isco 🟨
85′
91′
🔁 Sidnei
↦ William Carvalho
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 K. Navas G
12 Marcelo D
6 Nacho D
2 Daniel Carvajal D
5 R. Varane D
10 L. Modrić M
18 Marcos Llorente M
15 F. Valverde M
21 Brahim Díaz F
9 K. Benzema F
28 Vinícius Júnior F
Bench (7)
20 Marco Asensio
22 Isco
17 Lucas Vázquez
25 T. Courtois
23 Reguilón
8 T. Kroos
11 G. Bale

Coach: Z. Zidane

Betis

3-1-4-2
13 Pau López G
23 A. Mandi D
5 Bartra D
4 Z. Feddal D
20 Junior Firpo M
18 A. Guardado M
14 William Carvalho M
34 W. Kaptoum M
21 G. Lo Celso F
2 Francis Guerrero M
16 Loren Morón F
Bench (7)
10 Jesé
11 Cristian Tello
12 Sidnei
24 Emerson
7 Sergio León
1 Joel Robles
22 D. Lainez

Coach: Quique Setién

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alberto Undiano · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.