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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
Brighton
T U U T T
1–0
Full-time
West Ham
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
29%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
9 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 9
5 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brighton 15. · West Ham 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 7 6 1 0 +18 19
2 Liverpool 7 6 1 0 +12 19
3 Chelsea 7 5 2 0 +10 17
4 Tottenham 7 5 0 2 +7 15
5 Arsenal 7 5 0 2 +5 15
6 Watford 7 4 1 2 +3 13
7 Bournemouth 7 4 1 2 +0 13
8 Leicester 7 4 0 3 +3 12
9 Wolves 7 3 3 1 +2 12
10 Man United 7 3 1 3 -2 10
11 Everton 7 2 3 2 +0 9
12 Burnley 7 2 1 4 -2 7
13 Crystal Palace 7 2 1 4 -3 7
14 West Ham 7 2 1 4 -4 7
15 Brighton 7 1 2 4 -5 5
16 Southampton 7 1 2 4 -5 5
17 Fulham 7 1 2 4 -8 5
18 Newcastle 7 0 2 5 -6 2
19 Cardiff 7 0 2 5 -12 2
20 Huddersfield 7 0 2 5 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brighton West Ham
1–0 G. Murray
B. Kayal
25′
Shane Duffy 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–0
57′
🟨 Marko Arnautović
Alireza Jahanbakhsh 🟨
58′
60′
🔁 M. Antonio
↦ Pedro Obiang
Beram Kayal 🟨
61′
70′
🔁 Lucas Pérez
↦ A. Yarmolenko
J. Izquierdo 🔁
↦ A. Jahanbakhsh
71′
Y. Bissouma 🔁
↦ D. Pröpper
80′
83′
🔁 R. Snodgrass
↦ M. Noble
J. Locadia 🔁
↦ S. March
86′
88′
🟨 Robert Snodgrass
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Brighton

4-4-1-1
1 M. Ryan G
3 G. Bong D
2 Bruno Saltor D
4 S. Duffy D
5 L. Dunk D
7 B. Kayal M
24 D. Pröpper M
11 A. Knockaert M
20 S. March F
17 G. Murray F
16 A. Jahanbakhsh M
Bench (7)
19 J. Izquierdo
8 Y. Bissouma
9 J. Locadia
10 F. Andone
14 L. Balogun
27 D. Button
30 Bernardo

Coach: C. Hughton

West Ham

4-1-4-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
5 P. Zabaleta D
26 A. Masuaku D
4 F. Balbuena D
23 I. Diop D
16 M. Noble M
14 Pedro Obiang M
8 Felipe Anderson M
41 D. Rice M
7 M. Arnautović F
20 A. Yarmolenko M
Bench (7)
30 M. Antonio
27 Lucas Pérez
11 R. Snodgrass
3 A. Cresswell
13 Adrián
21 A. Ogbonna
24 R. Fredericks

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.