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Premier League
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Everton
T U S U U
1–3
Full-time
West Ham
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Everton 10. · West Ham 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Chelsea 5 5 0 0 +10 15
2 Liverpool 5 5 0 0 +9 15
3 Man City 5 4 1 0 +11 13
4 Watford 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Bournemouth 5 3 1 1 +3 10
6 Tottenham 5 3 0 2 +4 9
7 Arsenal 5 3 0 2 +1 9
8 Man United 5 3 0 2 +0 9
9 Wolves 5 2 2 1 +0 8
10 Everton 4 1 3 0 +1 6
11 Leicester 5 2 0 3 -1 6
12 Crystal Palace 5 2 0 3 -2 6
13 Southampton 4 1 1 2 +0 4
14 Brighton 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Fulham 5 1 1 3 -5 4
16 Cardiff 5 0 2 3 -6 2
17 Huddersfield 5 0 2 3 -9 2
18 Newcastle 5 0 1 4 -4 1
19 Burnley 5 0 1 4 -7 1
20 West Ham 4 0 0 4 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton West Ham
11′
A. Yarmolenko 0–1
M. Arnautović
Dominic Calvert-Lewin 🟨
18′
31′
A. Yarmolenko 0–2
M. Noble
40′
🟨 Arthur Masuaku
Bernard 🔁
↦ M. Schneiderlin
44′
Half-time 1–2
1–2 G. Sigurðsson
J. Kenny
47′
51′
🟨 Andriy Yarmolenko
53′
🟨 Pablo Zabaleta
61′
M. Arnautović 1–3
Pedro Obiang
64′
🔁 M. Antonio
↦ M. Arnautović
O. Niasse 🔁
↦ C. Tosun
69′
71′
🔁 C. Sánchez
↦ M. Noble
75′
🟨 Declan Rice
A. Lookman 🔁
↦ T. Walcott
77′
82′
🔁 R. Snodgrass
↦ A. Yarmolenko
Bernard 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Robert Snodgrass
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Everton

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pickford G
12 L. Digne D
5 K. Zouma D
43 J. Kenny D
2 M. Holgate D
18 M. Schneiderlin M
10 G. Sigurðsson M
17 I. Gueye M
11 T. Walcott M
14 C. Tosun F
29 D. Calvert-Lewin M
Bench (7)
20 Bernard
19 O. Niasse
31 A. Lookman
3 L. Baines
22 M. Stekelenburg
26 T. Davies
28 K. Dowell

Coach: Marco Silva

West Ham

4-1-4-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
5 P. Zabaleta D
26 A. Masuaku D
4 F. Balbuena D
23 I. Diop D
16 M. Noble M
14 Pedro Obiang M
8 Felipe Anderson M
41 D. Rice M
7 M. Arnautović F
20 A. Yarmolenko M
Bench (7)
30 M. Antonio
15 C. Sánchez
11 R. Snodgrass
3 A. Cresswell
13 Adrián
21 A. Ogbonna
27 Lucas Pérez

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Martin Atkinson · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.