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Pro League

Referee: Wim Smet

Cercle Brugge

T T U T T

2–1

Full-time

Charleroi

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,2

This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

22%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 56%

44%

67%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%

3 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cercle Brugge 11. · Charleroi 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	8	6	2	0	+16	20
2	Club Brugge	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	St Truiden	9	3	5	1	+3	14
4	Anderlecht	5	4	1	0	+9	13
5	Gent	6	4	1	1	+7	13
6	Antwerp	6	4	1	1	+5	13
7	Oostende	9	4	1	4	-3	13
8	Standard	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Charleroi	9	3	2	4	+0	11
10	Eupen	9	3	1	5	-8	10
11	Cercle Brugge	9	2	3	4	-8	9
12	Beveren	9	1	5	3	-2	8
13	Kortrijk	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Lokeren	9	1	2	6	-10	5
15	Waregem	9	1	2	6	-13	5
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Genk	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	St Truiden	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Gent	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Oostende	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Charleroi	5	2	0	3	-1	6
9	Cercle Brugge	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Standard	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Beveren	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Waregem	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Lokeren	4	1	1	2	-6	4
14	Eupen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	1	0	4	-5	3
16	Kortrijk	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Standard	4	2	1	1	+4	7
3	Kortrijk	5	2	1	2	+0	7
4	Eupen	5	2	1	2	-4	7
5	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Gent	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	St Truiden	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Antwerp	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Oostende	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Charleroi	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Beveren	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Cercle Brugge	5	0	3	2	-5	3
14	Lokeren	5	0	1	4	-4	1
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Waregem	5	0	1	4	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.