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Eredivisie

Referee: Bjorn Kuipers

Utrecht

U U T T U

2–1

Full-time

NAC Breda

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht NAC Breda

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 14%

14%

Points per game

0,9

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

29%

71%

Both score Ø 43%

57%

29%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,4

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

18 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Utrecht 16. · NAC Breda 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+23	21
2	Ajax	7	5	1	1	+12	16
3	Feyenoord	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Heracles	7	5	1	1	+5	16
5	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+9	12
6	VVV Venlo	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Excelsior	7	2	3	2	-2	9
8	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Den Haag	7	2	2	3	-6	8
10	Heerenveen	7	1	4	2	-3	7
11	Zwolle	7	2	1	4	-4	7
12	De Graafschap	7	2	1	4	-6	7
13	FC Emmen	7	2	1	4	-8	7
14	Vitesse	6	1	3	2	-3	6
15	For Sittard	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Utrecht	7	1	3	3	-4	6
17	Groningen	6	1	1	4	-6	4
18	NAC Breda	7	1	0	6	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heracles	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+12	9
4	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	1	3	0	+5	6
6	De Graafschap	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Excelsior	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Willem II	3	1	1	1	+4	4
9	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	NAC Breda	4	1	0	3	-2	3
12	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-6	3
13	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-3	2
14	Heerenveen	4	0	2	2	-4	2
15	FC Emmen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Groningen	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Vitesse	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Zwolle	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	FC Emmen	4	2	0	2	-4	6
7	Heerenveen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Vitesse	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Den Haag	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Feyenoord	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	For Sittard	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-3	4
14	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-5	4
15	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Utrecht	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	De Graafschap	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	NAC Breda	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.