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Championship

Referee: Lee Mason

Bristol City

T U T U U

2–0

Full-time

Nott'm Forest

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Nott'm Forest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

This season — Championship · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 20%

10%

30%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

50%

40%

Both score Ø 65%

70%

60%

Average goals

3,2

1,9

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 10

0 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bristol City 24. · Nott'm Forest 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	10	6	4	0	+6	22
2	Middlesbrough	10	6	2	2	+10	20
3	Reading	10	5	3	2	+9	18
4	Birmingham	10	5	3	2	+6	18
5	Hull	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Burnley	10	5	3	2	+3	18
7	Derby	10	4	5	1	+5	17
8	Cardiff	10	4	4	2	+3	16
9	Wolves	10	4	3	3	+4	15
10	Sheffield Weds	10	4	3	3	+1	15
11	QPR	10	4	3	3	-2	15
12	Ipswich	10	4	3	3	-2	15
13	Fulham	10	3	3	4	+1	12
14	Nott'm Forest	10	3	3	4	-1	12
15	Blackburn	10	2	5	3	+2	11
16	Leeds	10	2	5	3	-4	11
17	Charlton	10	2	4	4	-3	10
18	Huddersfield	10	2	4	4	-4	10
19	Milton Keynes Dons	10	2	2	6	-5	8
20	Brentford	10	2	2	6	-7	8
21	Rotherham	10	2	2	6	-7	8
22	Bolton	10	1	5	4	-7	8
23	Preston	10	1	4	5	-6	7
24	Bristol City	10	1	4	5	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	5	4	1	0	+4	13
2	Middlesbrough	5	4	0	1	+9	12
3	Hull	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Sheffield Weds	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Burnley	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Cardiff	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Reading	5	2	2	1	+5	8
8	Blackburn	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Wolves	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	QPR	5	2	2	1	+2	8
11	Ipswich	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Charlton	5	2	2	1	+2	8
13	Fulham	5	2	1	2	+1	7
14	Bolton	5	1	4	0	+1	7
15	Birmingham	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Huddersfield	5	1	3	1	+2	6
17	Derby	5	1	3	1	+1	6
18	Nott'm Forest	5	1	1	3	-2	4
19	Brentford	5	1	1	3	-4	4
20	Rotherham	5	1	1	3	-5	4
21	Preston	5	0	3	2	-2	3
22	Leeds	5	0	3	2	-3	3
23	Milton Keynes Dons	5	1	0	4	-5	3
24	Bristol City	5	0	2	3	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Birmingham	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Derby	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Reading	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Brighton	5	2	3	0	+2	9
5	Middlesbrough	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Nott'm Forest	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Burnley	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Leeds	5	2	2	1	-1	8
9	Wolves	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Hull	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	1	2	-4	7
12	QPR	5	2	1	2	-4	7
13	Cardiff	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Fulham	5	1	2	2	+0	5
15	Milton Keynes Dons	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Sheffield Weds	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Bristol City	5	1	2	2	-3	5
18	Rotherham	5	1	1	3	-2	4
19	Brentford	5	1	1	3	-3	4
20	Preston	5	1	1	3	-4	4
21	Huddersfield	5	1	1	3	-6	4
22	Blackburn	5	0	3	2	-2	3
23	Charlton	5	0	2	3	-5	2
24	Bolton	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.