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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
Ipswich
S T T S U
2–2
Full-time
Bristol City
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Championship · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
13%
Points per game
1,8
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 69%
75%
63%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,6
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
22 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 7
0 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 6. · Bristol City 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 8 6 2 0 +6 20
2 Middlesbrough 8 5 2 1 +9 17
3 Burnley 8 4 3 1 +3 15
4 Hull 8 4 2 2 +5 14
5 Derby 9 3 5 1 +3 14
6 Ipswich 8 4 2 2 +0 14
7 Reading 8 3 3 2 +6 12
8 Birmingham 7 3 3 1 +4 12
9 Cardiff 8 3 3 2 +2 12
10 Nott'm Forest 9 3 3 3 +0 12
11 QPR 9 3 3 3 -3 12
12 Fulham 8 3 2 3 +4 11
13 Leeds 8 2 5 1 +1 11
14 Huddersfield 9 2 4 3 -1 10
15 Sheffield Weds 8 2 3 3 -2 9
16 Charlton 8 2 3 3 -2 9
17 Brentford 7 2 2 3 -2 8
18 Wolves 7 2 2 3 -2 8
19 Blackburn 8 1 4 3 +0 7
20 Milton Keynes Dons 9 2 1 6 -5 7
21 Bolton 8 1 4 3 -6 7
22 Preston 8 1 3 4 -4 6
23 Rotherham 8 1 2 5 -8 5
24 Bristol City 8 1 2 5 -8 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Bristol City
37′
🟨 Marlon Pack
45′
🟨 Nathan Baker
Half-time 1–0
1–0 L. Chambers
J. Knudsen
46′
53′
L. Freeman 1–1
M. Little
56′
J. Kodjia 1–2
A. Wilbraham
62′
🟨 Aaron Wilbraham
D. McGoldrick 🔁
↦ D. Murphy
67′
B. Pitman 🔁
↦ A. Maitland-Niles
71′
J. Parr 🔁
↦ L. Chambers
84′
2–2 R. Fraser
F. Sears
86′
91′
🔁 W. Burns
↦ J. Kodjia
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ipswich

1 D. Gerken G
6 C. Berra D
4 L. Chambers D
5 T. Smith D
3 J. Knudsen D
22 J. Douglas M
8 C. Skuse M
14 R. Fraser M
7 A. Maitland-Niles M
9 D. Murphy F
20 F. Sears F
Bench (7)
10 D. McGoldrick
11 B. Pitman
2 J. Parr
17 K. Bru
18 J. Tabb
33 B. Bialkowski
39 L. Touré

Bristol City

1 F. Fielding G
2 M. Little D
4 A. Flint D
17 N. Baker D
5 L. Ayling D
3 D. Williams D
21 M. Pack M
23 J. Bryan D
18 A. Wilbraham F
22 J. Kodjia F
15 L. Freeman M
Bench (6)
20 W. Burns
8 C. Robinson
10 K. Agard
14 B. Reid
16 L. Moore
24 M. O’Leary

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.