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Championship
Referee: Keith Stroud
Blackburn
S U S T U
0–1
Full-time
Burnley
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Burnley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
This season — Championship · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
42%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
18 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 17. · Burnley 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brighton 12 8 4 0 +8 28
2 Birmingham 12 7 3 2 +8 24
3 Reading 12 6 4 2 +10 22
4 Hull 12 6 4 2 +9 22
5 Burnley 12 6 4 2 +5 22
6 Middlesbrough 12 6 3 3 +9 21
7 Derby 12 5 6 1 +7 21
8 Cardiff 12 5 5 2 +4 20
9 Sheffield Weds 13 5 5 3 +2 20
10 QPR 12 4 4 4 -3 16
11 Ipswich 12 4 4 4 -5 16
12 Wolves 12 4 3 5 +0 15
13 Fulham 12 3 5 4 +1 14
14 Huddersfield 12 3 5 4 -2 14
15 Brentford 12 4 2 6 -4 14
16 Nott'm Forest 12 3 4 5 -3 13
17 Blackburn 12 2 6 4 -1 12
18 Leeds 12 2 6 4 -5 12
19 Preston 12 2 5 5 -3 11
20 Milton Keynes Dons 12 3 2 7 -4 11
21 Bristol City 12 2 4 6 -7 10
22 Charlton 12 2 4 6 -7 10
23 Rotherham 13 2 3 8 -9 9
24 Bolton 12 1 5 6 -10 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Burnley
Half-time 0–1
63′
S. Arfield 0–1
B. Mee
C. Taylor 🔁
↦ N. Delfouneso
79′
86′
🔁 C. Long
↦ A. Gray
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Blackburn

30 J. Steele G
14 M. Olsson D
22 S. Duffy D
5 G. Hanley D
32 C. Conway M
10 B. Marshall M
29 C. Evans M
21 H. Akpan M
16 T. Lawrence M
11 J. Rhodes F
7 N. Delfouneso F
Bench (7)
19 C. Taylor
2 A. Henley
3 T. Spurr
4 M. Kilgallon
17 L. Williamson
18 J. O'Sullivan
33 David Raya

Burnley

1 T. Heaton G
4 M. Duff D
6 B. Mee D
27 T. Darikwa D
5 M. Keane D
13 J. Barton M
14 D. Jones M
37 S. Arfield M
9 S. Vokes F
21 G. Boyd M
7 A. Gray F
Bench (7)
24 C. Long
2 M. Lowton
11 M. Kightly
15 M. Taylor
18 R. Hennings
22 M. Gilks
23 S. Ward

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Keith Stroud · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.