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Championship

Referee: Dean Whitestone

Brighton

U S S U U

2–1

Full-time

Milton Keynes Dons

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton Milton Keynes Dons

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Championship · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 42%

57%

27%

Points per game

2,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

43%

40%

Both score Ø 49%

64%

33%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

54% Possession 46%

21 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

6 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brighton 5. · Milton Keynes Dons 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hull	15	9	4	2	+15	31
2	Burnley	15	9	4	2	+9	31
3	Middlesbrough	15	9	3	3	+15	30
4	Derby	16	8	6	2	+11	30
5	Brighton	14	8	6	0	+8	30
6	Birmingham	15	7	4	4	+4	25
7	Reading	15	6	6	3	+8	24
8	Sheffield Weds	14	6	5	3	+3	23
9	Cardiff	15	5	7	3	+3	22
10	Ipswich	15	5	6	4	-3	21
11	Fulham	15	5	5	5	+4	20
12	Brentford	15	6	2	7	-2	20
13	QPR	15	5	4	6	-2	19
14	Leeds	16	4	7	5	-3	19
15	Wolves	15	5	3	7	-1	18
16	Nott'm Forest	16	4	5	7	-4	17
17	Blackburn	15	3	7	5	+0	16
18	Preston	15	3	7	5	-2	16
19	Huddersfield	16	3	6	7	-7	15
20	Milton Keynes Dons	15	4	2	9	-8	14
21	Bristol City	15	3	5	7	-9	14
22	Bolton	15	1	7	7	-12	10
23	Charlton	15	2	4	9	-14	10
24	Rotherham	15	2	3	10	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middlesbrough	8	6	1	1	+13	19
2	Burnley	8	6	1	1	+8	19
3	Hull	7	5	2	0	+10	17
4	Brighton	7	5	2	0	+5	17
5	Derby	8	4	3	1	+7	15
6	Sheffield Weds	7	4	2	1	+4	14
7	Cardiff	7	4	2	1	+4	14
8	Reading	8	3	4	1	+6	13
9	Ipswich	8	3	4	1	+4	13
10	QPR	7	3	3	1	+5	12
11	Fulham	7	3	2	2	+3	11
12	Birmingham	8	3	2	3	-1	11
13	Brentford	8	3	1	4	-4	10
14	Blackburn	7	2	3	2	+3	9
15	Huddersfield	8	2	3	3	+0	9
16	Nott'm Forest	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Milton Keynes Dons	8	3	0	5	-3	9
18	Bolton	7	1	5	1	+0	8
19	Wolves	7	2	2	3	-1	8
20	Preston	8	1	5	2	-1	8
21	Charlton	7	2	2	3	-4	8
22	Bristol City	8	2	2	4	-5	8
23	Leeds	8	1	3	4	-5	6
24	Rotherham	7	1	2	4	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Derby	8	4	3	1	+4	15
2	Birmingham	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Hull	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Brighton	7	3	4	0	+3	13
5	Leeds	8	3	4	1	+2	13
6	Burnley	7	3	3	1	+1	12
7	Reading	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Middlesbrough	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Brentford	7	3	1	3	+2	10
10	Wolves	8	3	1	4	+0	10
11	Fulham	8	2	3	3	+1	9
12	Sheffield Weds	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	Cardiff	8	1	5	2	-1	8
14	Preston	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Nott'm Forest	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Ipswich	7	2	2	3	-7	8
17	Blackburn	8	1	4	3	-3	7
18	QPR	8	2	1	5	-7	7
19	Bristol City	7	1	3	3	-4	6
20	Huddersfield	8	1	3	4	-7	6
21	Milton Keynes Dons	7	1	2	4	-5	5
22	Rotherham	8	1	1	6	-7	4
23	Charlton	8	0	2	6	-10	2
24	Bolton	8	0	2	6	-12	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.