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Championship

Referee: Gavin Ward

Milton Keynes Dons

S T U U T

0–1

Full-time

Ipswich

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milton Keynes Dons Ipswich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

0,5

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,0

This season — Championship · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 29%

21%

37%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

37%

53%

Both score Ø 45%

37%

53%

Average goals

2,2

2,9

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

20 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

14 Corners 2

4 Offside 6

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milton Keynes Dons 20. · Ipswich 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	18	11	7	0	+11	40
2	Middlesbrough	19	12	3	4	+17	39
3	Hull	18	10	5	3	+17	35
4	Derby	18	9	7	2	+13	34
5	Burnley	19	9	7	3	+7	34
6	Cardiff	19	7	8	4	+4	29
7	Birmingham	19	8	4	7	+3	28
8	Sheffield Weds	18	7	7	4	+3	28
9	Ipswich	19	7	7	5	+1	28
10	Brentford	19	8	4	7	+1	28
11	Reading	19	7	6	6	+4	27
12	Blackburn	20	6	9	5	+4	27
13	QPR	19	7	5	7	-1	26
14	Wolves	20	6	7	7	+0	25
15	Nott'm Forest	20	6	6	8	+0	24
16	Fulham	19	5	7	7	-2	22
17	Leeds	19	5	7	7	-4	22
18	Preston	19	4	9	6	-1	21
19	Huddersfield	19	4	6	9	-9	18
20	Milton Keynes Dons	19	4	4	11	-11	16
21	Bristol City	19	3	7	9	-14	16
22	Charlton	19	4	4	11	-15	16
23	Rotherham	20	4	3	13	-14	15
24	Bolton	19	1	9	9	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	10	8	2	0	+8	26
2	Middlesbrough	9	7	1	1	+14	22
3	Hull	8	6	2	0	+13	20
4	Burnley	10	6	2	2	+6	20
5	Derby	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Sheffield Weds	9	5	3	1	+6	18
7	Cardiff	9	5	3	1	+6	18
8	QPR	9	4	4	1	+6	16
9	Reading	10	4	4	2	+6	16
10	Brentford	10	5	1	4	-1	16
11	Nott'm Forest	10	4	3	3	+4	15
12	Blackburn	10	3	5	2	+4	14
13	Ipswich	10	3	5	2	+2	14
14	Fulham	9	3	3	3	+0	12
15	Wolves	10	2	5	3	-1	11
16	Birmingham	10	3	2	5	-4	11
17	Charlton	9	3	2	4	-5	11
18	Bolton	10	1	7	2	-1	10
19	Milton Keynes Dons	9	3	1	5	-3	10
20	Huddersfield	9	2	3	4	-2	9
21	Leeds	10	2	3	5	-5	9
22	Bristol City	10	2	3	5	-7	9
23	Preston	9	1	5	3	-2	8
24	Rotherham	10	2	2	6	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Birmingham	9	5	2	2	+7	17
2	Middlesbrough	10	5	2	3	+3	17
3	Derby	9	4	4	1	+4	16
4	Hull	10	4	3	3	+4	15
5	Brighton	8	3	5	0	+3	14
6	Wolves	10	4	2	4	+1	14
7	Burnley	9	3	5	1	+1	14
8	Ipswich	9	4	2	3	-1	14
9	Leeds	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Preston	10	3	4	3	+1	13
11	Blackburn	10	3	4	3	+0	13
12	Brentford	9	3	3	3	+2	12
13	Reading	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Cardiff	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Sheffield Weds	9	2	4	3	-3	10
17	QPR	10	3	1	6	-7	10
18	Nott'm Forest	10	2	3	5	-4	9
19	Huddersfield	10	2	3	5	-7	9
20	Rotherham	10	2	1	7	-7	7
21	Bristol City	9	1	4	4	-7	7
22	Milton Keynes Dons	10	1	3	6	-8	6
23	Charlton	10	1	2	7	-10	5
24	Bolton	9	0	2	7	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.