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Championship
Referee: Phil Gibbs
Fulham
S U T U T
1–2
Full-time
Bristol City
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Championship · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 24%
22%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
64%
44%
Both score Ø 60%
72%
47%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
8 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 19. · Bristol City 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 36 20 11 5 +28 71
2 Middlesbrough 35 20 7 8 +26 67
3 Hull 32 19 6 7 +30 63
4 Brighton 34 17 12 5 +15 63
5 Derby 35 15 12 8 +13 57
6 Cardiff 36 14 13 9 +7 55
7 Ipswich 35 15 10 10 +2 55
8 Birmingham 35 15 9 11 +6 54
9 Sheffield Weds 33 14 11 8 +14 53
10 Preston 36 12 13 11 +0 49
11 QPR 36 11 14 11 +1 47
12 Leeds 36 11 14 11 -5 47
13 Wolves 36 12 10 14 -5 46
14 Nott'm Forest 35 11 12 12 +2 45
15 Reading 35 11 11 13 +0 44
16 Blackburn 36 10 13 13 +2 43
17 Brentford 35 12 7 16 -7 43
18 Huddersfield 36 11 9 16 -2 42
19 Fulham 36 8 13 15 -6 37
20 Bristol City 36 9 10 17 -25 37
21 Milton Keynes Dons 36 9 9 18 -18 36
22 Rotherham 36 10 5 21 -19 35
23 Charlton 36 6 11 19 -34 29
24 Bolton 36 4 14 18 -25 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Oct -15 Bristol City – Fulham 1–4

Match report

Fulham Bristol City
1–0 R. McCormack
M. Madl
3′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 P. Odemwingie
↦ J. Kodjia
46′
🔁 B. Reid
↦ L. Freeman
63′
🟨 Marlon Pack
69′
M. Pack 1–1
T. Ream 🔁
↦ L. Garbutt
77′
Ryan Fredericks 🟨
79′
J. O'Hara 🔁
↦ S. Parker
80′
C. Woodrow 🔁
↦ M. Dembélé
85′
Michael Madl 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 L. Ayling
↦ A. Matthews
90′
L. Tomlin 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Fulham

24 A. Lonergan G
45 F. Amorebieta D
15 M. Madl D
3 L. Garbutt D
33 D. Burn D
8 S. Parker M
10 T. Cairney M
19 R. Tunnicliffe M
7 R. Fredericks D
44 R. McCormack F
25 M. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
13 T. Ream
23 J. O'Hara
16 C. Woodrow
1 M. Bettinelli
2 A. Richards
9 M. Smith
28 E. Hyndman

Bristol City

12 R. O'Donnell G
13 S. Golbourne D
26 A. Matthews D
4 A. Flint D
17 N. Baker D
21 M. Pack M
23 J. Bryan D
9 L. Tomlin M
18 A. Wilbraham F
22 J. Kodjia F
15 L. Freeman M
Bench (7)
27 P. Odemwingie
14 B. Reid
5 L. Ayling
1 F. Fielding
10 K. Agard
11 S. Wagstaff
16 A. Pearce

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.