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Championship
Referee: Scott Duncan
Huddersfield
S U T T S
1–3
Full-time
Burnley
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Burnley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,0
This season — Championship · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 44%
31%
56%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
44%
47%
Both score Ø 52%
56%
47%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 3
5 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 18. · Burnley 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 36 20 11 5 +28 71
2 Middlesbrough 35 20 7 8 +26 67
3 Hull 32 19 6 7 +30 63
4 Brighton 34 17 12 5 +15 63
5 Derby 35 15 12 8 +13 57
6 Cardiff 36 14 13 9 +7 55
7 Ipswich 35 15 10 10 +2 55
8 Birmingham 35 15 9 11 +6 54
9 Sheffield Weds 33 14 11 8 +14 53
10 Preston 36 12 13 11 +0 49
11 QPR 36 11 14 11 +1 47
12 Leeds 36 11 14 11 -5 47
13 Wolves 36 12 10 14 -5 46
14 Nott'm Forest 35 11 12 12 +2 45
15 Reading 35 11 11 13 +0 44
16 Blackburn 36 10 13 13 +2 43
17 Brentford 35 12 7 16 -7 43
18 Huddersfield 36 11 9 16 -2 42
19 Fulham 36 8 13 15 -6 37
20 Bristol City 36 9 10 17 -25 37
21 Milton Keynes Dons 36 9 9 18 -18 36
22 Rotherham 36 10 5 21 -19 35
23 Charlton 36 6 11 19 -34 29
24 Bolton 36 4 14 18 -25 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Burnley
14′
S. Ward 0–1
M. Keane
30′
S. Vokes 0–2
G. Boyd
1–2 J. Lolley
T. Smith
44′
Half-time 1–3
47′
B. Mee 1–3
D. Jones
H. Bunn 🔁
↦ S. Scannell
55′
J. Paterson 🔁
↦ K. Matmour
56′
75′
🔁 M. Kightly
↦ S. Arfield
J. Husband 🔁
↦ J. Davidson
84′
85′
🔁 R. Hennings
↦ A. Gray
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Huddersfield

1 J. Steer G
5 M. Hudson D
14 M. Cranie D
3 J. Davidson M
2 T. Smith D
4 D. Whitehead M
10 K. Matmour F
7 S. Scannell M
21 N. Wells F
16 E. Huws M
18 J. Lolley M
Bench (7)
17 H. Bunn
8 J. Paterson
15 J. Husband
13 J. Murphy
22 K. Dempsey
33 J. Lynch
36 F. Bojaj

Burnley

1 T. Heaton G
23 S. Ward D
2 M. Lowton D
6 B. Mee D
5 M. Keane D
13 J. Barton M
14 D. Jones M
37 S. Arfield M
9 S. Vokes F
21 G. Boyd M
7 A. Gray F
Bench (7)
11 M. Kightly
18 R. Hennings
8 D. Marney
15 M. Taylor
17 P. Robinson
26 J. Tarkowski
27 T. Darikwa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Scott Duncan · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.