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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
Nott'm Forest
T S T U T
0–3
Full-time
Brentford
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,8
This season — Championship · 38/37 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
29%
62%
Both score Ø 53%
47%
59%
Average goals
1,8
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 2
6 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nott'm Forest 15. · Brentford 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 39 21 13 5 +30 76
2 Middlesbrough 38 22 7 9 +26 73
3 Brighton 37 19 13 5 +17 70
4 Hull 35 19 8 8 +29 65
5 Derby 37 16 13 8 +14 61
6 Sheffield Weds 35 16 11 8 +20 59
7 Cardiff 38 15 14 9 +8 59
8 Ipswich 38 16 10 12 +2 58
9 Birmingham 37 15 11 11 +6 56
10 Preston 39 14 14 11 +2 56
11 QPR 39 12 15 12 +3 51
12 Wolves 38 12 12 14 -5 48
13 Leeds 37 11 14 12 -8 47
14 Blackburn 39 11 13 15 +0 46
15 Nott'm Forest 38 11 13 14 -2 46
16 Huddersfield 38 12 9 17 -1 45
17 Reading 37 11 12 14 -1 45
18 Brentford 37 12 7 18 -11 43
19 Bristol City 38 11 10 17 -18 43
20 Rotherham 38 11 6 21 -18 39
21 Fulham 38 8 14 16 -7 38
22 Milton Keynes Dons 38 9 10 19 -19 37
23 Charlton 38 7 11 20 -35 32
24 Bolton 38 4 14 20 -32 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nott'm Forest Brentford
20′
🟨 Alan McCormack
K. Wilson 🔁
↦ M. Mancienne
25′
44′
🔁 L. Vibe
↦ L. Rodríguez
Half-time 0–1
49′
L. Vibe 0–1
A. Judge
H. Lansbury 🔁
↦ Ryan Mendes
55′
58′
🟨 Alan Judge
60′
🟨 Yoann Barbet
Matthew Mills 🟨
61′
O. Burke 🔁
↦ F. Macheda
64′
65′
N. Yennaris 0–2
Henri Lansbury 🟨
66′
70′
🔁 Sergi Canós
↦ S. Saunders
Eric Lichaj 🟨
72′
Eric Lichaj 🟨
77′
Eric Lichaj 🟥
77′
86′
🟨 Harlee Dean
86′
🔁 J. Clarke
↦ M. Colin
87′
Sergi Canós 0–3
L. Vibe
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

1 D. de Vries G
4 M. Mancienne D
5 M. Mills D
3 B. Jokić M
2 E. Lichaj D
8 C. Cohen M
24 D. Vaughan M
22 G. Gardner M
38 B. Osborn M
18 F. Macheda F
15 Ryan Mendes M
Bench (7)
6 K. Wilson
10 H. Lansbury
35 O. Burke
13 D. Fox
23 D. Blackstock
26 D. Evtimov
32 R. Tesche

Brentford

27 D. Button G
6 H. Dean D
3 J. Bidwell D
2 M. Colin D
29 Y. Barbet D
28 N. Yennaris M
12 A. McCormack M
7 S. Saunders M
18 A. Judge M
15 R. Woods M
20 L. Rodríguez F
Bench (7)
21 L. Vibe
47 Sergi Canós
36 J. Clarke
16 J. Bonham
17 K. Kerschbaumer
22 J. O'Connell
24 A. Gogia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.