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Championship
Referee: Rob Lewis
Fulham
S S S T U
1–3
Full-time
Nott'm Forest
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Nott'm Forest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Championship · 43/43 matches
Win Ø 26%
26%
26%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
65%
33%
Both score Ø 62%
74%
49%
Average goals
3,2
1,9
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

50% Possession 50%
22 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
10 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fulham 19. · Nott'm Forest 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 44 24 15 5 +33 87
2 Middlesbrough 43 26 8 9 +32 86
3 Brighton 41 23 13 5 +28 82
4 Hull 39 22 9 8 +35 75
5 Derby 42 19 14 9 +18 71
6 Sheffield Weds 41 18 14 9 +19 68
7 Cardiff 43 16 16 11 +7 64
8 Ipswich 43 16 14 13 +0 62
9 Birmingham 43 16 12 15 +4 60
10 Preston 44 14 16 14 -1 58
11 Leeds 43 14 15 14 -7 57
12 QPR 43 13 17 13 +0 56
13 Brentford 42 16 8 18 -3 56
14 Wolves 43 13 14 16 -6 53
15 Reading 43 13 12 18 -4 51
16 Huddersfield 43 13 11 19 -3 50
17 Blackburn 43 11 15 17 -3 48
18 Nott'm Forest 43 11 15 17 -7 48
19 Fulham 43 11 15 17 -9 48
20 Rotherham 43 13 9 21 -13 48
21 Bristol City 43 12 12 19 -20 48
22 Milton Keynes Dons 43 9 12 22 -25 39
23 Charlton 43 8 13 22 -36 37
24 Bolton 43 4 15 24 -39 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Dec -15 Nott'm Forest – Fulham 3–0

Match report

Fulham Nott'm Forest
18′
🟨 Matthew Mills
Ryan Fredericks 🟨
21′
23′
R. Tesche 0–1
H. Lansbury
43′
H. Lansbury 0–2
Half-time 0–2
M. Smith 🔁
↦ T. Cairney
46′
L. Christensen 🔁
↦ E. Hyndman
46′
1–2 M. Smith
R. McCormack
62′
70′
H. Lansbury 1–3
E. Lichaj
R. Tunnicliffe 🔁
↦ S. Parker
80′
Matt Smith 🟨
81′
93′
🔁 B. Assombalonga
↦ D. Blackstock
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Fulham

1 M. Bettinelli G
45 F. Amorebieta D
15 M. Madl D
13 T. Ream D
31 R. Ince M
8 S. Parker M
10 T. Cairney M
7 R. Fredericks D
28 E. Hyndman M
44 R. McCormack F
25 M. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
9 M. Smith
21 L. Christensen
19 R. Tunnicliffe
5 R. Stearman
16 C. Woodrow
22 C. Baird
24 A. Lonergan

Nott'm Forest

1 D. de Vries G
5 M. Mills D
3 B. Jokić M
13 D. Fox D
2 E. Lichaj D
32 R. Tesche M
8 C. Cohen M
10 H. Lansbury M
22 G. Gardner M
38 B. Osborn M
23 D. Blackstock F
Bench (7)
9 B. Assombalonga
15 Ryan Mendes
18 F. Macheda
26 D. Evtimov
29 C. O'Grady
35 O. Burke
42 J. Worrall

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.