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Championship
Referee: Jeremy Simpson
Derby
U U T T S
0–0
Full-time
Brighton
S U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Derby Brighton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. May -16 Brighton – Derby 1–1 12. Dec -15 Derby – Brighton 2–2

Match report

Derby Brighton
Craig Bryson 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
60′
🟨 Beram Kayal
W. Hughes 🔁
↦ B. Johnson
60′
C. Martin 🔁
↦ N. Blackman
69′
72′
🟨 Anthony Knockaert
73′
🔁 S. Baldock
↦ T. Hemed
J. Butterfield 🔁
↦ T. Ince
83′
Jeff Hendrick 🟨
84′
87′
🔁 J. Murphy
↦ J. Skalák
93′
🔁 K. LuaLua
↦ A. Knockaert
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Derby

4-4-1-1
1 S. Carson G
12 C. Baird D
5 J. Shackell D
6 R. Keogh D
2 C. Christie D
4 C. Bryson M
15 B. Johnson M
10 T. Ince M
8 J. Hendrick F
11 D. Bent F
22 N. Blackman F
Bench (7)
19 W. Hughes
9 C. Martin
18 J. Butterfield
25 M. Lowe
17 L. Grant
16 A. Pearce
7 J. Russell

Coach: N. Pearson

Brighton

4-4-2
13 D. Stockdale
23 L. Rosenior D
3 G. Bong D
2 Bruno Saltor D
5 L. Dunk D
14 S. Sidwell M
7 B. Kayal M
8 J. Skalák M
11 A. Knockaert M
17 G. Murray F
10 T. Hemed F
Bench (7)
9 S. Baldock
15 J. Murphy
30 K. LuaLua
24 R. Ince
1 N. Mäenpää
21 O. Norwood
43 B. White

Coach: C. Hughton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jeremy Simpson · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.