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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
Twente
T U S T U
1–2
Full-time
Excelsior
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Excelsior
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
18 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Apr -16 Twente – Excelsior 2–0 5. Dec -15 Excelsior – Twente 1–1

Match report

Twente Excelsior
13′
⚽ K. Vermeulen 0–1
N. Hasselbaink
17′
🟨 Ryan Koolwijk
T. Hölscher 🔁
↦ K. Mokotjo
25′
44′
🟨 Stanley Elbers
Half-time 0–1
54′
🟨 Bas Kuipers
61′
⚽ L. Owusu 0–2
L. Bruins
T. Børven 🔁
↦ F. Jensen
67′
77′
🔁 Fredy
↦ N. Hasselbaink
S. Thesker 🔁
↦ H. ter Avest
79′
1–2 J. Oosterwijk ⚽
S. Thesker
82′
Dejan Trajkovski 🟨
83′
83′
🔁 M. Massop
↦ S. Elbers
87′
🟨 Kevin Vermeulen
89′
🔁 C. Badjeck
↦ T. Ondaan
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
1 N. Marsman G
6 D. Trajkovski D
3 J. Andersen D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
7 C. Ede F
22 K. Mokotjo M
10 H. Ziyech M
19 F. Jensen M
23 J. van der Heyden M
24 J. Oosterwijk F
Bench (7)
12 T. Hölscher
9 T. Børven
5 S. Thesker
20 S. Stevens
32 B. Soumaoro
28 J. van der Lely
30 D. George

Coach: R. Hake

Excelsior

4-3-3
22 T. Muyters G
4 H. Drost D
15 J. Mattheij D
5 B. Kuipers D
3 L. Owusu D
10 L. Bruins F
8 R. Koolwijk M
18 K. Vermeulen M
7 N. Hasselbaink F
11 S. Elbers F
9 T. Ondaan F
Bench (8)
17 Fredy
23 M. Massop
14 C. Badjeck
34 D. Haspolat
19 C. de Reuver
16 M. Havekotte
20 E. Brito
6 A. Hadouir

Coach: M. van der Gaag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.