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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
0–1
Full-time
Charleroi
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2 Corners 4
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 12. · Charleroi 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Club Brugge 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Genk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Anderlecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 St Truiden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Charleroi 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Westerlo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Standard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Kortrijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Gent 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Oostende 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Lokeren 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Beveren 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Mechelen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Eupen 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Charleroi
5′
C. Tainmont 0–1
16′
🟨 Clement Tainmont
David Hubert 🟨
18′
41′
🟨 David Pollet
Half-time 0–1
L. Stojanović 🔁
↦ J. Michel
46′
Noë Dussenne 🟨
58′
N. Gulan 🔁
↦ M. Vojvoda
58′
F. Olinga 🔁
↦ F. Marković
72′
72′
🔁 R. Ferber
↦ D. Pollet
Valentin Viola 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 A. Baby
↦ M. Fall
82′
🔁 E. Sağlık
↦ C. Tainmont
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

1 Vagner G
3 N. Dussenne D
23 M. Tirpan D
34 S. Simič D
27 M. Vojvoda D
5 D. Hubert M
10 J. Michel M
11 D. Mohamed F
7 F. Marković M
16 V. Viola F
20 S. Diédhiou F
Bench (7)
22 L. Stojanović
24 N. Gulan
8 F. Olinga
14 C. Kocur
28 J. Huyghebaert
45 F. Mulić
21 M. Delač

Coach: G. De Boeck

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau G
41 F. N'Ganga D
8 Javi Martos D
23 S. Willems D
29 S. Ninis M
25 D. Marcq M
7 C. Tainmont M
13 C. Diandy M
19 Clinton Mata M
77 M. Fall -
10 D. Pollet F
Bench (7)
45 R. Ferber
18 A. Baby
28 E. Sağlık
5 B. Boulenger
24 D. Dessoleil
35 P. Mandanda
99 C. Bedia

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.