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Championship
Referee: Andy Woolmer
Nott'm Forest
U U S U S
4–3
Full-time
Burton Albion

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nott'm Forest Burton Albion
Matthew Mills 🟨
13′
S. Henderson 🔁
↦ D. de Vries
19′
1–0 B. Assombalonga ⚽
J. Grant
23′
27′
⚽ L. Akins 1–1
J. Mousinho
30′
⚽ L. Dyer 1–2
C. O'Grady
33′
🟨 Ben Turner
Henri Lansbury 🟨
35′
40′
🟨 Hamza Choudhury
Half-time 1–2
P. Kasami 🔁
↦ J. Grant
46′
2–2 T. Lam ⚽
B. Osborn
47′
3–2 O. Burke ⚽
49′
66′
🔁 T. Naylor
↦ L. Williamson
72′
🔁 S. Beavon
↦ C. OGrady
4–2 B. Assombalonga ⚽
77′
82′
🔁 D. McCrory
↦ T. Flanagan
E. Lichaj 🔁
↦ Hildeberto Pereira
85′
90′
⚽ T. Naylor 4–3
H. Choudhury
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-1-4-1
1 D. de Vries G
5 M. Mills D
28 T. Lam D
37 J. Grant M
40 A. Iacovitti D
10 H. Lansbury M
11 B. Osborn M
17 Hildeberto Pereira D
35 O. Burke F
41 M. Cash M
9 B. Assombalonga F
Bench (7)
30 S. Henderson
22 P. Kasami
2 E. Lichaj
24 D. Vaughan
14 L. Veldwijk
27 D. Perquis
39 A. Vellios

Coach: P. Montanier

Burton Albion

5-3-2
1 J. McLaughlin G
6 B. Turner D
5 K. McFadzean D
4 J. Mousinho D
2 T. Flanagan D
7 L. Williamson M
11 L. Dyer M
16 M. Palmer M
19 H. Choudhury M
10 L. Akins F
8 C. O'Grady F
Bench (7)
15 T. Naylor
9 S. Beavon
14 D. McCrory
22 M. Harness
12 C. Butcher
13 S. Bywater
20 P. Edwards

Coach: N. Clough

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

Andy Woolmer · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.