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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen

Lillestrom

T T T S T

3–4

Full-time

Rosenborg

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Rosenborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,7

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,8

This season — Eliteserien · 18/17 matches

Win Ø 50%

28%

71%

Points per game

1,1

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

61%

47%

Both score Ø 57%

67%

47%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,7

0,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 9

2 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

0 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 11. · Rosenborg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	17	12	4	1	+27	40
2	Odd	18	10	4	4	+9	34
3	Brann	18	10	3	5	+11	33
4	Stromsgodset	18	10	3	5	+9	33
5	Sarpsborg 08	18	9	4	5	+2	31
6	Haugesund	18	8	4	6	+2	28
7	Molde	19	8	4	7	+0	28
8	Viking	17	8	3	6	-1	27
9	Sogndal	18	6	8	4	+2	26
10	Tromso	19	5	6	8	-6	21
11	Lillestrom	18	5	5	8	-3	20
12	Bodo/Glimt	19	5	4	10	-6	19
13	Aalesund	19	5	4	10	-11	19
14	Valerenga	18	5	3	10	-4	18
15	Stabaek	18	4	4	10	-7	16
16	Start	18	0	7	11	-24	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	9	9	0	0	+23	27
2	Stromsgodset	10	8	2	0	+15	26
3	Brann	8	7	1	0	+15	22
4	Molde	10	6	2	2	+10	20
5	Odd	10	6	2	2	+7	20
6	Haugesund	9	5	3	1	+10	18
7	Sarpsborg 08	9	5	3	1	+9	18
8	Lillestrom	9	4	2	3	+5	14
9	Sogndal	9	3	5	1	+2	14
10	Valerenga	9	4	1	4	+6	13
11	Aalesund	9	3	3	3	+4	12
12	Viking	8	3	2	3	+1	11
13	Bodo/Glimt	10	3	2	5	-3	11
14	Tromso	9	2	3	4	-1	9
15	Stabaek	8	2	1	5	-5	7
16	Start	9	0	3	6	-16	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	9	5	1	3	-2	16
2	Odd	8	4	2	2	+2	14
3	Rosenborg	8	3	4	1	+4	13
4	Sarpsborg 08	9	4	1	4	-7	13
5	Sogndal	9	3	3	3	+0	12
6	Tromso	10	3	3	4	-5	12
7	Brann	10	3	2	5	-4	11
8	Haugesund	9	3	1	5	-8	10
9	Stabaek	10	2	3	5	-2	9
10	Bodo/Glimt	9	2	2	5	-3	8
11	Molde	9	2	2	5	-10	8
12	Stromsgodset	8	2	1	5	-6	7
13	Aalesund	10	2	1	7	-15	7
14	Lillestrom	9	1	3	5	-8	6
15	Valerenga	9	1	2	6	-10	5
16	Start	9	0	4	5	-8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.