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Championship

Referee: Steve Martin

Sheffield Weds

S T S U T

1–0

Full-time

Aston Villa

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Aston Villa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 9

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	QPR	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-3	0
22	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	QPR	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.