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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
AZ Alkmaar
T S S S S
2–2
Full-time
Heerenveen
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Apr -16 Heerenveen – AZ Alkmaar 4–2 21. Nov -15 AZ Alkmaar – Heerenveen 3–1

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Heerenveen
20′
🟨 Lucas Bijker
1–0 M. Henriksen ⚽
A. Jahanbakhsh
33′
40′
⚽ A. Zeneli 1–1
L. Slagveer
Stijn Wuytens 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
51′
🟨 Pelle van Amersfoort
2–1 W. Weghorst ⚽
52′
57′
🟨 Joost van Aken
64′
🔁 W. Huizing
↦ Y. Namli
68′
🟨 Willem Huizing
71′
🟨 Willem Huizing
71′
🟥 Willem Huizing
76′
🔁 H. Veerman
↦ R. Ghoochannejhad
L. Garcia 🔁
↦ D. dos Santos
79′
F. Friday 🔁
↦ W. Weghorst
81′
81′
🔁 C. Cavlan
↦ A. Zeneli
82′
⚽ S. Schaars 2–2
Levi García 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Henk Veerman
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 S. Rochet G
4 R. Vlaar D
3 R. van Eijden D
5 R. Haps D
23 D. Luckassen D
30 S. Wuytens D
10 M. Henriksen M
8 J. van Overeem M
7 A. Jahanbakhsh F
9 W. Weghorst F
19 D. dos Santos F
Bench (8)
28 L. Garcia
27 F. Friday
2 M. Johansson
16 G. Coutinho
20 M. Seuntjens
21 R. Mühren
24 R. Brežančić
36 G. Til

Coach: J. van den Brom

Heerenveen

4-3-3
1 E. Mulder G
2 S. Marzo D
5 L. Bijker D
4 J. van Aken D
16 J. St. Juste D
6 S. Schaars M
18 Y. Namli F
9 R. Ghoochannejhad F
7 L. Slagveer F
13 A. Zeneli F
19 P. van Amersfoort M
Bench (8)
25 W. Huizing
20 H. Veerman
22 C. Cavlan
17 B. van den Boomen
30 W. Sietsma
33 W. van der Steen
34 R. Amin
37 M. Vlap

Coach: J. Streppel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.