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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Gent
T T S U U
1–0
Full-time
Genk
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Corners 6
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 10. · Genk 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Waregem 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Charleroi 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Standard 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Lokeren 2 1 0 1 +2 3
6 Club Brugge 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Genk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Mechelen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 St Truiden 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Gent 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Westerlo 2 0 1 1 -3 1
12 Kortrijk 2 0 1 1 -4 1
13 Oostende 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 Beveren 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Eupen 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Genk
35′
🟨 Sandy Walsh
36′
🔁 D. Wouters
↦ S. Walsh
Half-time 0–0
66′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ N. Karelis
D. Miličević 🔁
↦ T. Matton
69′
74′
🟨 Dries Wouters
74′
🔁 B. Kumordzi
↦ N. Kebano
K. Saief 🔁
↦ M. Simon
75′
J. Perbet 🔁
↦ K. Coulibaly
81′
1–0 J. Perbet
D. Miličević
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Gent

1 J. Rinne G
55 R. Gershon D
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Nielsen D
8 T. Matton M
14 S. Kums M
10 Renato Neto M
32 T. Foket M
9 L. Depoitre F
7 K. Coulibaly F
27 M. Simon F
Bench (7)
77 D. Miličević
15 K. Saief
24 J. Perbet
11 E. Kujović
16 R. Schoofs
20 Y. Thoelen
28 S. Horemans

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Genk

1 M. Bizot G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
5 S. Walsh D
25 O. Ndidi M
19 T. Buffel F
24 Pozuelo M
92 N. Kebano M
28 B. Heynen M
7 N. Karelis F
31 L. Bailey F
Bench (7)
15 D. Wouters
77 M. Samatta
8 B. Kumordzi
14 L. Trossard
17 H. Tshimanga
26 L. Köteles
71 Y. Buyens

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.