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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
Huddersfield
S T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Derby
T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huddersfield Derby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Championship · 12/13 matches
Win Ø 45%
67%
23%
Points per game
2,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
50%
8%
Both score Ø 41%
58%
23%
Average goals
2,2
1,3
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
21 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 5
12 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huddersfield 4. · Derby 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Newcastle 13 9 1 3 +16 28
2 Norwich 13 8 3 2 +8 27
3 Brighton 13 7 4 2 +8 25
4 Huddersfield 12 8 1 3 +4 25
5 Birmingham 14 6 5 3 +3 23
6 Bristol City 13 6 2 5 +5 20
7 Brentford 13 5 4 4 +7 19
8 QPR 13 5 4 4 -2 19
9 Reading 13 5 4 4 -4 19
10 Fulham 13 4 6 3 -1 18
11 Sheffield Weds 12 5 3 4 -1 18
12 Ipswich 13 4 5 4 +1 17
13 Burton Albion 14 4 5 5 +0 17
14 Preston 13 5 2 6 +0 17
15 Leeds 13 5 2 6 -2 17
16 Barnsley 13 5 1 7 +1 16
17 Wolves 13 4 4 5 +0 16
18 Nott'm Forest 13 4 3 6 -2 15
19 Aston Villa 13 2 8 3 -1 14
20 Derby 13 3 5 5 -3 14
21 Blackburn 13 3 3 7 -7 12
22 Cardiff 13 3 3 7 -10 12
23 Wigan 13 2 5 6 -2 11
24 Rotherham 13 1 3 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huddersfield Derby
Nahki Wells 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
Jonathan Hogg 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 I. Anya
↦ J. Russell
A. Mooy 🔁
↦ D. Whitehead
61′
H. Bunn 🔁
↦ R. van La Parra
61′
65′
🟨 Will Hughes
71′
🔁 D. Bent
↦ M. Vydra
J. Payne 🔁
↦ N. Wells
75′
93′
🔁 A. Weimann
↦ T. Ince
1–0 E. Kachunga
H. Bunn
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Huddersfield

4-2-3-1
1 D. Ward
15 C. Löwe D
26 C. Schindler D
44 M. Hefele D
2 T. Smith D
4 D. Whitehead M
17 R. van La Parra M
6 J. Hogg M
45 K. Palmer M
9 E. Kachunga M
21 N. Wells F
Bench (7)
10 A. Mooy
11 H. Bunn
16 J. Payne
5 M. Hudson
12 T. Holmes-Dennis
14 M. Cranie
25 J. Murphy

Coach: D. Wagner

Derby

4-3-3
1 S. Carson G
6 R. Keogh D
16 A. Pearce D
29 M. Olsson D
2 C. Christie D
18 J. Butterfield M
15 B. Johnson M
10 T. Ince M
19 W. Hughes M
7 J. Russell F
23 M. Vydra M
Bench (7)
8 I. Anya
11 D. Bent
24 A. Weimann
12 C. Baird
26 J. Hanson
31 F. Rawson
35 J. Mitchell

Coach: S. McClaren

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.