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Championship
Referee: Stuart Attwell
Bolton
U U T T T
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bolton Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
This season — Championship · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
13 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
14 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bolton 24. · Sheffield United 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 7 5 2 0 +12 17
2 Cardiff 7 5 1 1 +5 16
3 Wolves 7 4 2 1 +4 14
4 Preston 7 3 3 1 +4 12
5 Sheffield Weds 7 3 3 1 +3 12
6 Ipswich 6 4 0 2 +2 12
7 Sheffield United 6 4 0 2 +2 12
8 Nott'm Forest 7 4 0 3 -1 12
9 QPR 7 3 2 2 +1 11
10 Middlesbrough 6 3 1 2 +4 10
11 Derby 6 3 1 2 +3 10
12 Bristol City 7 2 4 1 +2 10
13 Norwich 7 2 2 3 -5 8
14 Fulham 6 1 4 1 +1 7
15 Hull 6 2 1 3 +0 7
16 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 +0 7
17 Reading 6 2 1 3 -1 7
18 Millwall 7 1 3 3 +1 6
19 Aston Villa 6 1 3 2 -2 6
20 Sunderland 7 1 2 4 -5 5
21 Burton Albion 7 1 2 4 -10 5
22 Birmingham 7 1 1 5 -6 4
23 Brentford 7 0 3 4 -5 3
24 Bolton 6 0 2 4 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bolton Sheffield United
Filipe Morais 🔁
↦ W. Buckley
30′
33′
C. Carter-Vickers 0–1
Filipe Morais 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
Josh Cullen 🟨
52′
64′
🔁 J. Lundstram
↦ M. Duffy
A. Le Fondre 🔁
↦ A. Armstrong
67′
73′
🔁 D. Brooks
↦ B. Sharp
A. Wilbraham 🔁
↦ A. Robinson
76′
82′
🟨 Daniel Lafferty
87′
🔁 C. Basham
↦ G. Baldock
Gary Madine 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bolton

5-3-2
13 B. Alnwick G
31 D. Wheater D
2 M. Little D
5 M. Beevers D
32 R. Burke D
15 A. Robinson D
8 J. Karacan M
11 W. Buckley M
16 J. Cullen M
14 G. Madine F
20 A. Armstrong M
Bench (7)
22 Filipe Morais
9 A. Le Fondre
18 A. Wilbraham
4 D. Dervite
12 C. Noone
21 D. Pratley
33 M. Howard

Coach: J. Phillips

Sheffield United

3-5-2
27 J. Blackman G
13 J. Wright D
24 D. Lafferty M
2 G. Baldock M
5 J. O'Connell D
16 C. Carter-Vickers D
4 J. Fleck M
21 M. Duffy M
15 P. Coutts M
9 L. Clarke F
10 B. Sharp F
Bench (7)
7 J. Lundstram
36 D. Brooks
6 C. Basham
3 E. Stevens
18 K. Freeman
31 J. Eastwood
32 C. Evans

Coach: C. Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Stuart Attwell · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.