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Championship
Referee: Stephen Martin
Wolves
S S T U S
3–3
Full-time
Bristol City
T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Championship · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
21 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 3. · Bristol City 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cardiff 6 5 1 0 +8 16
2 Leeds 6 4 2 0 +10 14
3 Wolves 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Ipswich 6 4 0 2 +2 12
5 Sheffield United 6 4 0 2 +2 12
6 Middlesbrough 6 3 1 2 +4 10
7 Derby 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 QPR 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 Bristol City 6 2 3 1 +2 9
10 Sheffield Weds 6 2 3 1 +2 9
11 Preston 6 2 3 1 +1 9
12 Nott'm Forest 6 3 0 3 -2 9
13 Fulham 6 1 4 1 +1 7
14 Hull 6 2 1 3 +0 7
15 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 +0 7
16 Reading 6 2 1 3 -1 7
17 Norwich 6 2 1 3 -5 7
18 Aston Villa 6 1 3 2 -2 6
19 Millwall 6 1 2 3 +1 5
20 Sunderland 6 1 2 3 -4 5
21 Birmingham 6 1 1 4 -4 4
22 Burton Albion 6 1 1 4 -10 4
23 Brentford 6 0 3 3 -4 3
24 Bolton 6 0 2 4 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Bristol City
21′
🟨 Nathan Baker
1–0 Léo Bonatini
Rúben Vinagre
28′
43′
A. Flint 1–1
B. Wright
Half-time 1–1
48′
🟨 Josh Brownhill
2–1 Diogo Jota
Léo Bonatini
54′
58′
F. Diedhiou 2–2
Diogo Jota 🟨
68′
68′
🔁 M. Taylor
↦ J. Leko
B. Enobakhare 🔁
↦ Ivan Cavaleiro
76′
R. Saïss 🔁
↦ Roderick
76′
77′
🔁 J. Paterson
↦ J. Brownhill
78′
🔁 M. Pack
↦ F. Diedhiou
82′
B. Reid 2–3
B. Marshall 🔁
↦ Rúben Neves
84′
3–3 D. Batth
B. Marshall
85′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Wolves

3-4-3
21 J. Ruddy
6 D. Batth D
25 Roderick D
2 M. Doherty M
29 Rúben Vinagre M
4 A. N'Diaye M
16 C. Coady D
8 Rúben Neves M
18 Diogo Jota F
33 Léo Bonatini F
7 Ivan Cavaleiro F
Bench (7)
26 B. Enobakhare
27 R. Saïss
12 B. Marshall
14 M. Żyro
19 J. Price
31 W. Norris
32 S. Deslandes

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Bristol City

4-4-2
1 F. Fielding G
4 A. Flint D
6 N. Baker D
5 B. Wright D
3 J. Bryan D
7 K. Smith M
14 B. Reid F
11 C. O'Dowda M
8 J. Brownhill M
9 F. Diedhiou F
45 J. Leko M
Bench (7)
10 M. Taylor
20 J. Paterson
21 M. Pack
15 L. Steele
18 C. Woodrow
19 N. Eliasson
23 H. Magnússon

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Stephen Martin · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.