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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
Norwich
T S T T S
0–0
Full-time
Burton Albion
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Burton Albion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,7
This season — Championship · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%
18 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 17. · Burton Albion 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cardiff 6 5 1 0 +8 16
2 Leeds 6 4 2 0 +10 14
3 Wolves 6 4 1 1 +4 13
4 Ipswich 6 4 0 2 +2 12
5 Sheffield United 6 4 0 2 +2 12
6 Middlesbrough 6 3 1 2 +4 10
7 Derby 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 QPR 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 Bristol City 6 2 3 1 +2 9
10 Sheffield Weds 6 2 3 1 +2 9
11 Preston 6 2 3 1 +1 9
12 Nott'm Forest 6 3 0 3 -2 9
13 Fulham 6 1 4 1 +1 7
14 Hull 6 2 1 3 +0 7
15 Barnsley 6 2 1 3 +0 7
16 Reading 6 2 1 3 -1 7
17 Norwich 6 2 1 3 -5 7
18 Aston Villa 6 1 3 2 -2 6
19 Millwall 6 1 2 3 +1 5
20 Sunderland 6 1 2 3 -4 5
21 Birmingham 6 1 1 4 -4 4
22 Burton Albion 6 1 1 4 -10 4
23 Brentford 6 0 3 3 -4 3
24 Bolton 6 0 2 4 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Burton Albion
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Luke Murphy
Mario Vrančić 🟨
62′
65′
🔁 L. Varney
↦ J. Mason
75′
🔁 L. Dyer
↦ M. Sordell
Y. Wildschut 🔁
↦ T. Trybull
78′
79′
🔁 T. Flanagan
↦ S. Warnock
C. Jerome 🔁
↦ Nélson Oliveira
84′
J. Maddison 🔁
↦ W. Hoolahan
84′
Timm Klose 🟨
90′
Cameron Jerome 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jake Buxton
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
1 A. Gunn G
15 T. Klose D
2 Ivo Pinto D
6 C. Zimmermann D
8 M. Vrančić M
27 A. Tettey M
14 W. Hoolahan M
18 M. Stiepermann M
19 T. Trybull M
9 Nélson Oliveira F
11 Josh Murphy M
Bench (7)
17 Y. Wildschut
10 C. Jerome
23 J. Maddison
3 J. Husband
4 H. Reed
31 G. Hanley
33 M. McGovern

Coach: D. Farke

Burton Albion

3-5-2
1 S. Bywater G
3 S. Warnock M
6 B. Turner D
5 K. McFadzean D
2 J. Brayford D
23 J. Buxton D
7 L. Murphy M
4 J. Allen M
10 L. Akins F
17 M. Sordell M
20 J. Mason F
Bench (7)
16 L. Varney
11 L. Dyer
12 T. Flanagan
13 C. Ripley
15 T. Naylor
21 H. Akpan
26 J. Sbarra

Coach: N. Clough

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.