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Championship

Referee: Simon Hooper

Sunderland

S U T T T

0–1

Full-time

Nott'm Forest

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Nott'm Forest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Championship · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sunderland 20. · Nott'm Forest 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Leeds	6	4	2	0	+10	14
3	Wolves	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Ipswich	6	4	0	2	+2	12
5	Sheffield United	6	4	0	2	+2	12
6	Middlesbrough	6	3	1	2	+4	10
7	Derby	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	QPR	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Bristol City	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Sheffield Weds	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Preston	6	2	3	1	+1	9
12	Nott'm Forest	6	3	0	3	-2	9
13	Fulham	6	1	4	1	+1	7
14	Hull	6	2	1	3	+0	7
15	Barnsley	6	2	1	3	+0	7
16	Reading	6	2	1	3	-1	7
17	Norwich	6	2	1	3	-5	7
18	Aston Villa	6	1	3	2	-2	6
19	Millwall	6	1	2	3	+1	5
20	Sunderland	6	1	2	3	-4	5
21	Birmingham	6	1	1	4	-4	4
22	Burton Albion	6	1	1	4	-10	4
23	Brentford	6	0	3	3	-4	3
24	Bolton	6	0	2	4	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cardiff	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	QPR	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Sheffield United	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Middlesbrough	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Preston	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Hull	3	2	0	1	+6	6
7	Derby	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Barnsley	3	2	0	1	+3	6
9	Norwich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Wolves	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Ipswich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Nott'm Forest	3	2	0	1	+0	6
13	Leeds	3	1	2	0	+5	5
14	Aston Villa	3	1	2	0	+2	5
15	Sheffield Weds	3	1	2	0	+2	5
16	Bristol City	3	1	2	0	+2	5
17	Millwall	3	1	1	1	+3	4
18	Reading	3	1	1	1	+0	4
19	Burton Albion	3	1	1	1	+0	4
20	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	-1	4
21	Brentford	3	0	2	1	-1	2
22	Fulham	3	0	2	1	-1	2
23	Sunderland	3	0	1	2	-3	1
24	Bolton	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Wolves	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Cardiff	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Ipswich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Fulham	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Bristol City	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Sheffield Weds	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Sunderland	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Derby	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Middlesbrough	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Reading	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Nott'm Forest	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Sheffield United	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Preston	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Bolton	3	0	2	1	-4	2
16	Millwall	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	QPR	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Barnsley	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Brentford	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Aston Villa	3	0	1	2	-4	1
21	Norwich	3	0	1	2	-6	1
22	Hull	3	0	1	2	-6	1
23	Birmingham	3	0	0	3	-3	0
24	Burton Albion	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.