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Championship
Referee: Simon Hooper
Aston Villa
S S U U T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Championship · 20/22 matches
Win Ø 50%
45%
55%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
45%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 6
13 Free kicks against 21
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aston Villa 10. · Sheffield United 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolves 23 17 3 3 +26 54
2 Cardiff 23 14 5 4 +15 47
3 Bristol City 23 12 8 3 +13 44
4 Derby 22 13 4 5 +17 43
5 Leeds 23 12 3 8 +9 39
6 Sheffield United 22 12 1 9 +7 37
7 Preston 23 9 9 5 +4 36
8 Ipswich 23 11 2 10 +4 35
9 Middlesbrough 22 10 4 8 +7 34
10 Aston Villa 20 9 6 5 +8 33
11 Brentford 23 7 10 6 +4 31
12 Fulham 21 8 7 6 +1 31
13 Nott'm Forest 23 10 1 12 -5 31
14 Reading 23 7 6 10 -1 27
15 Sheffield Weds 23 6 9 8 -2 27
16 Norwich 23 7 6 10 -8 27
17 Millwall 23 6 8 9 -1 26
18 QPR 23 6 8 9 -8 26
19 Hull 23 5 7 11 -4 22
20 Barnsley 23 5 6 12 -11 21
21 Burton Albion 23 5 5 13 -25 20
22 Sunderland 23 3 10 10 -11 19
23 Bolton 23 4 7 12 -18 19
24 Birmingham 23 4 5 14 -21 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aston Villa Sheffield United
1–0 A. Adomah ⚽
4′
2–0 M. Jedinak ⚽
R. Snodgrass
9′
12′
⚽ C. Donaldson 2–1
J. Lundstram
26′
⚽ C. Donaldson 2–2
Half-time 2–2
57′
🟨 Chris Basham
R. De Laet 🔁
↦ R. Snodgrass
59′
68′
🟨 Clayton Donaldson
71′
🟨 Jack O'Connell
S. Hogan 🔁
↦ Ahmed El Mohamady
73′
G. Agbonlahor 🔁
↦ K. Davis
73′
73′
🔁 S. Carruthers
↦ M. Duffy
74′
🔁 B. Sharp
↦ C. Donaldson
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Aston Villa

4-4-1-1
1 S. Johnstone G
3 N. Taylor D
5 J. Chester D
6 G. Whelan M
15 M. Jedinak M
27 Ahmed El Mohamady D
7 R. Snodgrass M
37 A. Adomah M
14 C. Hourihane M
10 J. Grealish M
39 K. Davis F
Bench (7)
2 R. De Laet
9 S. Hogan
11 G. Agbonlahor
13 J. Steer
20 B. Bjarnason
21 A. Hutton
24 T. Elphick

Coach: S. Bruce

Sheffield United

3-4-1-2
1 S. Moore G
19 R. Stearman D
6 C. Basham D
3 E. Stevens M
2 G. Baldock M
5 J. O'Connell D
16 C. Carter-Vickers D
21 M. Duffy M
7 J. Lundstram M
11 C. Donaldson F
9 L. Clarke F
Bench (7)
44 S. Carruthers
10 B. Sharp
13 J. Wright
22 C. Lavery
23 B. Heneghan
24 D. Lafferty
27 J. Blackman

Coach: C. Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Simon Hooper · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.