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Eredivisie

Referee: Paulus van Boekel

AZ Alkmaar

S S S U T

3–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 17/16 matches

Win Ø 52%

65%

38%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

53%

69%

Both score Ø 55%

47%

63%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

12 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 3. · Heerenveen 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	14	1	2	+27	43
2	Ajax	17	12	2	3	+35	38
3	AZ Alkmaar	17	11	2	4	+13	35
4	Zwolle	18	9	6	3	+5	33
5	Feyenoord	16	8	5	3	+17	29
6	Den Haag	17	8	2	7	-1	26
7	Utrecht	15	7	3	5	-3	24
8	Heerenveen	16	6	5	5	-1	23
9	Heracles	17	6	4	7	-9	22
10	Vitesse	14	5	5	4	+7	20
11	Excelsior	17	6	2	9	-6	20
12	VVV Venlo	17	4	7	6	-6	19
13	Groningen	17	4	5	8	-4	17
14	Willem II	17	4	4	9	-11	16
15	NAC Breda	18	4	4	10	-15	16
16	Twente	17	4	2	11	-9	14
17	Roda	17	3	2	12	-19	11
18	Sparta Rotterdam	16	2	5	9	-20	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	8	0	0	+16	24
2	Heracles	9	6	2	1	+6	20
3	Ajax	8	6	0	2	+16	18
4	AZ Alkmaar	9	6	0	3	+7	18
5	Zwolle	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	Den Haag	10	4	2	4	+1	14
7	Groningen	9	3	4	2	+1	13
8	Feyenoord	8	3	3	2	+2	12
9	Twente	9	3	2	4	+0	11
10	Utrecht	6	3	2	1	+0	11
11	NAC Breda	9	3	1	5	-10	10
12	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-2	8
13	Roda	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Heerenveen	8	2	2	4	-7	8
15	Sparta Rotterdam	8	2	2	4	-10	8
16	Excelsior	9	2	1	6	-6	7
17	Vitesse	6	1	3	2	+0	6
18	VVV Venlo	9	1	3	5	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+19	20
2	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	1	2	+11	19
3	Feyenoord	8	5	2	1	+15	17
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	5	2	1	+6	17
5	Zwolle	10	4	4	2	-2	16
6	Heerenveen	8	4	3	1	+6	15
7	Vitesse	8	4	2	2	+7	14
8	VVV Venlo	8	3	4	1	+1	13
9	Excelsior	8	4	1	3	+0	13
10	Utrecht	9	4	1	4	-3	13
11	Den Haag	7	4	0	3	-2	12
12	Willem II	8	2	2	4	-9	8
13	NAC Breda	9	1	3	5	-5	6
14	Groningen	8	1	1	6	-5	4
15	Twente	8	1	0	7	-9	3
16	Sparta Rotterdam	8	0	3	5	-10	3
17	Roda	9	1	0	8	-15	3
18	Heracles	8	0	2	6	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.