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Pro League
Referee: Jan Boterberg
Genk
U U S T U
2–3
Full-time
Kortrijk
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 12/19 matches
Win Ø 26%
25%
26%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
42%
63%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
63%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
12 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 15. · Kortrijk 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 14 12 1 1 +23 37
2 Anderlecht 13 10 2 1 +13 32
3 Antwerp 20 8 7 5 +3 31
4 St Truiden 19 7 7 5 -2 28
5 Royal Excel Mouscron 20 7 5 8 -5 26
6 Charleroi 12 7 4 1 +9 25
7 Beveren 20 7 4 9 +1 25
8 Gent 13 7 2 4 +10 23
9 Oostende 20 6 4 10 -1 22
10 Lokeren 20 5 6 9 -9 21
11 Waregem 20 6 2 12 -5 20
12 Kortrijk 19 5 5 9 -8 20
13 Mechelen 20 4 6 10 -12 18
14 Standard 12 4 5 3 +0 17
15 Genk 12 3 7 2 +2 16
16 Eupen 20 2 7 11 -19 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Kortrijk
11′
J. Brabec 1–0
own goal
27′
🟨 Evgen Makarenko
45′
🟨 Jérémy Perbet
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Hannes Van Der Bruggen
N. Karelis 🔁
↦ S. Schrijvers
52′
53′
🟨 Bennard Kumordzi
2–0 M. Ingvartsen
53′
Joseph Aidoo 🟨
62′
64′
🟨 Gary Kagelmacher
Joseph Aidoo 🟥
65′
66′
🔁 I. Ouali
↦ S. De Smet
67′
T. Chevalier 2–1
I. Ouali
J. Mæhle 🔁
↦ M. Ingvartsen
68′
80′
🔁 L. Azouni
↦ H. Van der Bruggen
3–1 T. Buffel
Pozuelo
82′
88′
🔁 B. Verboom
↦ J. Perbet
95′
T. Chevalier 3–2
K. D'Haene
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 D. Vuković G
2 J. Brabec D
15 O. Colley D
45 J. Aidoo D
5 A. Khammas D
19 T. Buffel F
24 Pozuelo M
18 R. Malinovskiy M
22 S. Schrijvers F
9 M. Ingvartsen F
8 E. Zhegrova F
Bench (7)
7 N. Karelis
31 J. Mæhle
3 B. Nastić
4 D. Wouters
20 P. Sabak
29 M. Benson
30 N. Jackers

Coach: J. Daerden

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
28 T. Kaminski G
4 G. Kagelmacher D
3 E. Makarenko D
6 L. Rougeaux D
2 B. Kumordzi M
8 A. Ajagun M
30 K. D'Haene F
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
7 S. De Smet F
43 J. Perbet F
9 T. Chevalier F
Bench (7)
27 I. Ouali
20 L. Azouni
23 B. Verboom
1 S. Bruzzese
5 V. Kovačević
18 P. Budkivskyi
11 J. Stojanović

Coach: G. De Boeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jan Boterberg · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.