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Pro League

Referee: Wesley Alen

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T U T S

2–1

Full-time

Waregem

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,0

This season — Pro League · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 32%

32%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

53%

68%

Both score Ø 63%

68%

58%

Average goals

2,9

3,4

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

6 Corners 3

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 8. · Waregem 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	14	12	1	1	+23	37
2	Anderlecht	13	10	2	1	+13	32
3	Antwerp	20	8	7	5	+3	31
4	St Truiden	19	7	7	5	-2	28
5	Charleroi	12	7	4	1	+9	25
6	Beveren	20	7	4	9	+1	25
7	Gent	13	7	2	4	+10	23
8	Royal Excel Mouscron	19	6	5	8	-6	23
9	Oostende	20	6	4	10	-1	22
10	Lokeren	20	5	6	9	-9	21
11	Waregem	19	6	2	11	-4	20
12	Kortrijk	19	5	5	9	-8	20
13	Mechelen	20	4	6	10	-12	18
14	Standard	12	4	5	3	+0	17
15	Genk	12	3	7	2	+2	16
16	Eupen	20	2	7	11	-19	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	7	0	0	+14	21
2	St Truiden	10	6	3	1	+5	21
3	Beveren	10	5	1	4	+6	16
4	Kortrijk	10	4	4	2	+5	16
5	Anderlecht	6	5	0	1	+8	15
6	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	4	3	3	-2	15
7	Antwerp	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	Gent	6	4	0	2	+6	12
9	Charleroi	6	3	3	0	+4	12
10	Mechelen	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	Standard	6	3	2	1	+1	11
12	Eupen	10	2	4	4	-4	10
13	Waregem	10	3	1	6	-5	10
14	Oostende	9	3	0	6	-3	9
15	Genk	6	1	5	0	+1	8
16	Lokeren	10	1	4	5	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	10	5	3	2	+1	18
2	Anderlecht	7	5	2	0	+5	17
3	Club Brugge	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Lokeren	10	4	2	4	+1	14
5	Charleroi	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Oostende	11	3	4	4	+2	13
7	Gent	7	3	2	2	+4	11
8	Waregem	9	3	1	5	+1	10
9	Beveren	10	2	3	5	-5	9
10	Genk	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	2	2	5	-4	8
12	St Truiden	9	1	4	4	-7	7
13	Standard	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Mechelen	10	1	3	6	-10	6
15	Kortrijk	9	1	1	7	-13	4
16	Eupen	10	0	3	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.