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Pro League
Referee: Bert Put
Waregem
S S U U T
3–2
Full-time
Eupen
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 23%
31%
15%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
69%
58%
Both score Ø 60%
62%
58%
Average goals
3,3
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

7 Corners 4
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 12. · Eupen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 14 3 1 +26 45
2 Antwerp 27 9 11 7 +1 38
3 Kortrijk 26 10 6 10 +2 36
4 St Truiden 27 9 9 9 -9 36
5 Anderlecht 17 10 4 3 +10 34
6 Beveren 26 9 7 10 +3 34
7 Charleroi 17 9 6 2 +14 33
8 Gent 17 9 4 4 +16 31
9 Oostende 27 8 6 13 -1 30
10 Genk 18 7 8 3 +6 29
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 8 5 13 -12 29
12 Waregem 26 8 4 14 -8 28
13 Lokeren 26 7 7 12 -13 28
14 Standard 18 7 6 5 +3 27
15 Mechelen 26 5 7 14 -19 22
16 Eupen 26 4 9 13 -19 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Eupen
13′
M. Koné 0–1
M. Leye
39′
J. Bjørdal 1–1
own goal
2–1 H. Harbaoui
B. Hamalainen
41′
3–1 H. Harbaoui
S. Coopman
44′
Half-time 3–1
Brian Hamalainen 🟨
57′
4–1 B. Hamalainen
64′
68′
🟨 Mbaye Leye
70′
🔁 Y. Toyokawa
↦ N. Schouterden
T. Bongonda 🔁
↦ S. Coopman
75′
88′
🔁 M. Wagué
↦ M. Tirpan
Hamdi Harbaoui 🟨
89′
Sammy Bossut 🟨
90′
N. De Pauw 🔁
↦ O. Kaya
91′
I. Šaponjić 🔁
↦ H. Harbaoui
94′
94′
🔁 F. Raspentino
↦ S. Gnaka
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Waregem

1 S. Bossut G
6 T. Derijck D
2 D. De fauw D
31 B. Hamalainen D
24 J. Bjørdal D
10 O. Kaya M
8 G. De Mets M
43 S. Coopman M
20 I. Doumbia M
9 H. Harbaoui F
99 P. Olayinka F
Bench (7)
95 T. Bongonda
33 I. Šaponjić
11 N. De Pauw
23 J. De Sart
25 L. Bostyn
3 M. Baudry
14 S. Walsh

Coach: F. Dury

Eupen

1 H. Van Crombrugge G
44 Marc Valiente D
23 M. Tirpan D
5 D. Diagné D
24 S. Gnaka D
18 N. Schouterden M
6 R. Mulumba M
10 Luis García F
9 M. Leye F
7 M. Koné F
28 E. Ocansey F
Bench (7)
20 Y. Toyokawa
15 M. Wagué
19 F. Raspentino
8 J. Amani
30 B. Niasse
14 A. Castro-Montes
25 G. Jamabo

Coach: C. Makélélé

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bert Put · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.