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Serie A

Referee: Luigi Nasca

Chievo

U T T T T

2–1

Full-time

Cagliari

T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chievo Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 25%

21%

29%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

46%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

54%

46%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

9 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 1

4 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 23

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chievo 16. · Cagliari 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	24	20	3	1	+39	63
2	Juventus	24	20	2	2	+46	62
3	Roma	25	15	5	5	+21	50
4	Inter	24	13	9	2	+21	48
5	Lazio	24	14	4	6	+26	46
6	Sampdoria	24	12	5	7	+12	41
7	Milan	24	11	5	8	+4	38
8	Atalanta	24	10	7	7	+8	37
9	Torino	24	8	12	4	+6	36
10	Udinese	25	10	3	12	+0	33
11	Fiorentina	24	8	7	9	+2	31
12	Genoa	24	7	6	11	-6	27
13	Bologna	24	8	3	13	-8	27
14	Cagliari	24	7	4	13	-12	25
15	Sassuolo	24	6	5	13	-27	23
16	Chievo	24	5	7	12	-20	22
17	Crotone	24	5	6	13	-22	21
18	Spal	24	3	8	13	-23	17
19	Verona	24	4	4	16	-26	16
20	Benevento	24	2	1	21	-41	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	12	10	1	1	+26	31
2	Napoli	12	9	2	1	+21	29
3	Sampdoria	13	9	2	2	+18	29
4	Inter	13	8	4	1	+14	28
5	Roma	13	8	1	4	+9	25
6	Atalanta	12	6	3	3	+8	21
7	Lazio	11	6	2	3	+16	20
8	Torino	12	5	5	2	+9	20
9	Milan	11	6	2	3	+1	20
10	Udinese	13	5	2	6	+2	17
11	Fiorentina	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Cagliari	12	4	1	7	-4	13
13	Chievo	12	3	4	5	-5	13
14	Crotone	12	3	4	5	-6	13
15	Bologna	12	3	3	6	-3	12
16	Spal	12	2	5	5	-9	11
17	Sassuolo	12	2	4	6	-9	10
18	Genoa	11	2	2	7	-7	8
19	Verona	12	2	1	9	-15	7
20	Benevento	12	2	1	9	-16	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	12	11	1	0	+18	34
2	Juventus	12	10	1	1	+20	31
3	Lazio	13	8	2	3	+10	26
4	Roma	12	7	4	1	+12	25
5	Inter	11	5	5	1	+7	20
6	Genoa	13	5	4	4	+1	19
7	Milan	13	5	3	5	+3	18
8	Atalanta	12	4	4	4	+0	16
9	Udinese	12	5	1	6	-2	16
10	Torino	12	3	7	2	-3	16
11	Fiorentina	12	4	3	5	+2	15
12	Bologna	12	5	0	7	-5	15
13	Sassuolo	12	4	1	7	-18	13
14	Sampdoria	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Cagliari	12	3	3	6	-8	12
16	Verona	12	2	3	7	-11	9
17	Chievo	12	2	3	7	-15	9
18	Crotone	12	2	2	8	-16	8
19	Spal	12	1	3	8	-14	6
20	Benevento	12	0	0	12	-25	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.