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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S
2–2
Full-time
Heerenveen
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 62%
87%
36%
Points per game
2,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
70%
64%
Both score Ø 58%
48%
68%
Average goals
3,6
2,9
Scored
2,6
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

34% Possession 66%
11 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 8
0 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Heerenveen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 23 20 1 2 +37 61
2 Ajax 23 17 3 3 +44 54
3 AZ Alkmaar 23 14 5 4 +21 47
4 Feyenoord 23 11 6 6 +21 39
5 Zwolle 23 11 6 6 +1 39
6 Utrecht 21 9 7 5 -1 34
7 Vitesse 21 9 6 6 +11 33
8 Heerenveen 22 8 7 7 -2 31
9 VVV Venlo 24 7 10 7 -5 31
10 Den Haag 21 8 5 8 -3 29
11 Excelsior 24 8 5 11 -6 29
12 Heracles 23 7 6 10 -16 27
13 Groningen 24 5 9 10 -5 24
14 Willem II 23 5 5 13 -14 20
15 NAC Breda 23 5 5 13 -14 20
16 Roda 23 4 5 14 -24 17
17 Twente 23 4 4 15 -17 16
18 Sparta Rotterdam 23 3 5 15 -28 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Heerenveen
1–0 S. Arias
H. Lozano
34′
2–0 L. de Jong
43′
Hirving Lozano 🟥
45′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 H. Veerman
↦ K. Pierie
Jorrit Hendrix 🟨
48′
56′
S. Schaars 2–1
A. Zeneli
61′
🟨 Stijn Schaars
D. Luckassen 🔁
↦ Mauro Júnior
66′
76′
🟨 Denzel Dumfries
D. Malen 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
78′
78′
🔁 M. Rojas
↦ L. Woudenberg
82′
🔁 P. van Amersfoort
↦ D. Dumfries
82′
R. Ghoochannejhad 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
8 J. Hendrix M
23 B. Ramselaar M
47 Mauro Júnior M
9 L. de Jong F
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (12)
3 D. Luckassen
35 D. Malen
7 G. Pereiro
13 E. Room
14 S. Lammers
16 D. Rigo
18 P. Rosario
24 R. Lundqvist
29 Albert Gudmundsson
31 Y. van Osch
50 A. Obispo
52 C. Gakpo

Coach: P. Cocu

Heerenveen

4-3-3
24 M. Hansen G
3 D. Høegh D
16 L. Woudenberg D
2 D. Dumfries D
5 K. Pierie D
6 S. Schaars M
8 M. Thorsby M
18 M. Vlap M
9 R. Ghoochannejhad F
13 A. Zeneli F
10 M. Ødegaard F
Bench (10)
20 H. Veerman
7 M. Rojas
19 P. van Amersfoort
4 N. Næss
12 D. Schmidt
17 N. Mihajlović
21 Y. Kobayashi
23 W. van der Steen
25 J. Bekkema
26 J. Bruijn

Coach: J. Streppel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.