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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
Birmingham
S T U S S
0–0
Full-time
Brentford
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
This season — Championship · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
54%
42%
Both score Ø 61%
54%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
5 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 7. · Brentford 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 23 14 6 3 +17 48
2 Norwich 24 14 6 4 +15 48
3 West Brom 23 13 5 5 +21 44
4 Sheffield United 24 12 5 7 +11 41
5 Derby 23 11 6 6 +8 39
6 Middlesbrough 24 10 9 5 +8 39
7 Birmingham 24 9 10 5 +10 37
8 QPR 24 11 4 9 -1 37
9 Nott'm Forest 24 8 12 4 +9 36
10 Aston Villa 23 9 8 6 +9 35
11 Stoke 24 8 10 6 +1 34
12 Swansea 24 9 5 10 +1 32
13 Bristol City 24 8 8 8 +1 32
14 Blackburn 24 7 10 7 -6 31
15 Hull 24 8 6 10 -5 30
16 Sheffield Weds 24 8 6 10 -10 30
17 Preston 24 7 7 10 -4 28
18 Brentford 24 6 8 10 +0 26
19 Wigan 24 7 4 13 -12 25
20 Millwall 24 5 7 12 -10 22
21 Rotherham 24 4 10 10 -16 22
22 Bolton 24 5 6 13 -15 21
23 Reading 24 4 7 13 -10 19
24 Ipswich 24 2 9 13 -22 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Brentford
26′
🟨 Romaine Sawyers
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Julian Jeanvier
64′
🟨 Neal Maupay
67′
🔁 S. Benrahma
↦ N. Maupay
75′
🟨 Yoann Barbet
O. Bogle 🔁
↦ Che Adams
79′
79′
🔁 N. Yennaris
↦ J. McEachran
C. Mahoney 🔁
↦ Jota Peleteiro
82′
82′
🔁 A. Judge
↦ Sergi Canós
90′
🟨 Nicholas Yennaris
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Birmingham

4-4-2
1 L. Camp G
28 M. Morrison D
12 H. Dean D
5 M. Colin D
45 W. Harding D
6 M. Kieftenbeld M
19 J. Maghoma M
20 G. Gardner M
23 Jota Peleteiro M
9 Che Adams F
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
Bench (7)
14 O. Bogle
7 C. Mahoney
8 C. Gardner
24 D. Scarr
25 J. Cogley
27 C. Trueman
31 C. Lakin

Coach: G. Monk

Brentford

3-4-3
1 D. Bentley G
2 M. Odubajo D
23 J. Jeanvier D
29 Y. Barbet D
3 R. Henry D
19 R. Sawyers M
10 J. McEachran M
7 Sergi Canós M
26 E. Konsa D
9 N. Maupay F
11 O. Watkins M
Bench (7)
21 S. Benrahma
8 N. Yennaris
18 A. Judge
12 K. Mokotjo
14 J. Dasilva
22 H. Dalsgaard
28 L. Daniels

Coach: T. Frank

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.