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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Lazio
U U T S S
1–1
Full-time
Torino
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
17 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Lazio 4. · Torino 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 19 17 2 0 +27 53
2 Napoli 18 13 2 3 +19 41
3 Inter 18 11 3 4 +16 36
4 Lazio 18 9 4 5 +7 31
5 Sampdoria 19 8 5 6 +9 29
6 Milan 18 7 7 4 +5 28
7 Roma 18 7 6 5 +8 27
8 Torino 18 6 8 4 +5 26
9 Atalanta 18 7 4 7 +8 25
10 Fiorentina 18 6 7 5 +7 25
11 Sassuolo 18 6 7 5 +2 25
12 Parma 18 7 4 7 -4 25
13 Cagliari 18 4 8 6 -6 20
14 Genoa 18 5 4 9 -10 19
15 Spal 18 4 5 9 -11 17
16 Empoli 18 4 4 10 -14 16
17 Udinese 18 3 6 9 -9 15
18 Bologna 18 2 7 9 -13 13
19 Frosinone 18 1 7 10 -24 10
20 Chievo 18 0 8 10 -22 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Torino
14′
🟨 Koffi Djidji
Joaquín Correa 🟨
27′
41′
🟨 Armando Izzo
Half-time 0–1
48′
A. Belotti 0–1
51′
🔁 E. Moretti
↦ A. Izzo
Luiz Felipe 🟨
57′
Lucas Leiva 🔁
↦ Ş. Radu
57′
1–1 S. Milinković-Savić
Lucas Leiva
62′
Wallace 🔁
↦ J. Correa
64′
72′
🔁 S. Lukić
↦ D. Baselli
Luis Alberto 🟨
75′
80′
🟨 Saša Lukić
83′
🔁 Lyanco
↦ E. Moretti
F. Caicedo 🔁
↦ Luis Alberto
85′
Adam Marušić 🟥
86′
89′
🟨 Tomás Rincón
Lucas Leiva 🟨
90′
90′
🟥 Soualiho Meïté
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lazio

3-4-2-1
1 T. Strakosha G
26 Ş. Radu D
33 F. Acerbi D
77 A. Marušić M
3 Luiz Felipe D
19 S. Lulić M
16 M. Parolo M
10 Luis Alberto F
11 J. Correa M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
17 C. Immobile F
Bench (11)
6 Lucas Leiva
13 Wallace
20 F. Caicedo
4 Patric
5 J. Lukaku
15 Bastos
23 G. Guerrieri
24 S. Proto
25 M. Badelj
32 D. Cataldi
96 A. Murgia

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Torino

3-1-4-2
39 S. Sirigu G
29 L. De Silvestri M
15 C. Ansaldi M
33 N. N'Koulou D
30 K. Djidji D
5 A. Izzo D
88 T. Rincón M
23 S. Meïté M
8 D. Baselli M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
24 E. Moretti
7 S. Lukić
3 Lyanco
6 R. Soriano
11 S. Zaza
20 S. Edera
21 Álex Berenguer
25 A. Rosati
27 V. Parigini
34 O. Aina
36 Bremer
1 S. Ichazo

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.