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Serie A

Referee: Gianpaolo Calvarese

Napoli

S S S S T

3–2

Full-time

Bologna

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

0,3

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,0

This season — Serie A · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 42%

72%

11%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

61%

44%

Both score Ø 42%

44%

39%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,9

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%

17 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 2. · Bologna 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	19	17	2	0	+27	53
2	Napoli	18	13	2	3	+19	41
3	Inter	19	12	3	4	+17	39
4	Lazio	19	9	5	5	+7	32
5	Roma	19	8	6	5	+10	30
6	Sampdoria	19	8	5	6	+9	29
7	Atalanta	19	8	4	7	+12	28
8	Milan	18	7	7	4	+5	28
9	Torino	19	6	9	4	+5	27
10	Fiorentina	19	6	8	5	+7	26
11	Sassuolo	19	6	7	6	-2	25
12	Parma	19	7	4	8	-6	25
13	Cagliari	19	4	8	7	-8	20
14	Genoa	19	5	5	9	-10	20
15	Udinese	19	4	6	9	-7	18
16	Spal	18	4	5	9	-11	17
17	Empoli	19	4	4	11	-15	16
18	Bologna	18	2	7	9	-13	13
19	Chievo	19	1	8	10	-21	11
20	Frosinone	19	1	7	11	-25	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	9	1	0	+14	28
2	Napoli	9	7	2	0	+16	23
3	Inter	9	7	1	1	+13	22
4	Roma	9	5	3	1	+10	18
5	Lazio	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Fiorentina	9	5	2	2	+9	17
7	Sampdoria	9	5	2	2	+7	17
8	Milan	9	5	2	2	+3	17
9	Genoa	10	4	4	2	+3	16
10	Atalanta	9	4	2	3	+8	14
11	Cagliari	9	3	5	1	+3	14
12	Sassuolo	10	3	5	2	-2	14
13	Torino	9	4	1	4	+1	13
14	Parma	10	3	4	3	-1	13
15	Empoli	10	4	1	5	-2	13
16	Udinese	10	3	2	5	-5	11
17	Spal	9	2	4	3	-3	10
18	Bologna	9	2	3	4	-4	9
19	Chievo	10	1	4	5	-9	7
20	Frosinone	9	0	5	4	-10	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Napoli	9	6	0	3	+3	18
3	Inter	10	5	2	3	+4	17
4	Atalanta	10	4	2	4	+4	14
5	Torino	10	2	8	0	+4	14
6	Lazio	9	4	2	3	+1	14
7	Sampdoria	10	3	3	4	+2	12
8	Roma	10	3	3	4	+0	12
9	Parma	9	4	0	5	-5	12
10	Milan	9	2	5	2	+2	11
11	Sassuolo	9	3	2	4	+0	11
12	Fiorentina	10	1	6	3	-2	9
13	Udinese	9	1	4	4	-2	7
14	Spal	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	Cagliari	10	1	3	6	-11	6
16	Frosinone	10	1	2	7	-15	5
17	Bologna	9	0	4	5	-9	4
18	Chievo	9	0	4	5	-12	4
19	Genoa	9	1	1	7	-13	4
20	Empoli	9	0	3	6	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.