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Eliteserien
Referee: Sivert Amland
Sandefjord
T T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Aalesund
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,7
5,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
2,2
3,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-2,0
This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 7%
14%
0%
Points per game
0,6
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
57%
86%
Both score Ø 72%
43%
100%
Average goals
2,7
5,0
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
2,0
3,6
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 14. · Aalesund 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 7 7 0 0 +23 21
2 Molde 7 6 1 0 +12 19
3 Brann 7 4 1 2 +1 13
4 Valerenga 7 3 3 1 +0 12
5 Rosenborg 7 3 2 2 +5 11
6 Stabaek 7 3 2 2 -1 11
7 Kristiansund 7 2 4 1 +5 10
8 Odd 7 3 1 3 +3 10
9 Stromsgodset 7 2 3 2 -3 9
10 Mjondalen 7 2 2 3 +0 8
11 Haugesund 7 2 2 3 -7 8
12 Sarpsborg 08 7 2 0 5 -1 6
13 Viking 7 1 2 4 -5 5
14 Sandefjord 7 1 1 5 -9 4
15 Start 7 0 3 4 -8 3
16 Aalesund 7 0 3 4 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Aalesund
Anton Kralj 🟨
27′
1–0 S. Foss
E. Brenden
37′
41′
🔁 P. Bizoza
↦ F. Carlsen
Half-time 1–0
K. Hansen 🔁
↦ Celorrio
51′
S. Mørk 🔁
↦ E. Pálsson
54′
65′
🔁 S. Sæthre
↦ D. Grétarsson
W. Kurtović 🔁
↦ Rufo Herraiz
76′
G. Gibson 🔁
↦ Enric Vallès
76′
79′
🔁 D. Klinkenberg
↦ S. Nordli
80′
🟨 Shaquill Sno
Erik Brenden 🟨
87′
Kristoffer Normann Hansen 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sandefjord

4-2-3-1
1 J. Storevik G
3 Marc Vales D
5 M. Kreuzriegler D
21 A. Kralj D
17 S. Foss D
4 Enric Vallès M
6 E. Pálsson M
15 E. Brenden M
7 Celorrio F
10 Rufo Herraiz M
9 S. Gussiås M
Bench (7)
11 K. Hansen
16 S. Mørk
18 W. Kurtović
20 G. Gibson
31 P. Johansen
13 L. Markmanrud
99 J. Granlund

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Aalesund

3-5-2
25 G. Kongshavn G
5 O. Lie D
4 J. Grønner D
3 D. Grétarsson D
2 S. Sno M
18 D. Ólafsson M
8 F. Carlsen M
11 S. Nordli M
10 H. Fridjonsson F
22 S. Haugen F
9 N. Castro M
Bench (7)
20 P. Bizoza
15 S. Sæthre
6 D. Klinkenberg
16 J. Hatlehol
41 M. Karlsbakk
38 I. Määttä
24 E. Mwimba

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sivert Amland · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.