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Eliteserien

Referee: Harald Rovig Sletner

Valerenga

S U T S U

2–2

Full-time

Aalesund

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Aalesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,7

4,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,5

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,3

This season — Eliteserien · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

40%

Points per game

1,6

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 90%

80%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,8

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,6

3,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

9 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valerenga 8. · Aalesund 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Molde	5	4	1	0	+8	13
3	Brann	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Kristiansund	5	2	3	0	+6	9
5	Mjondalen	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Stabaek	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Stromsgodset	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Valerenga	5	2	2	1	-1	8
9	Haugesund	5	2	1	2	-4	7
10	Odd	5	2	0	3	+2	6
11	Rosenborg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Viking	6	1	2	3	-4	5
13	Sandefjord	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Start	6	0	3	3	-7	3
15	Aalesund	5	0	2	3	-10	2
16	Sarpsborg 08	5	0	0	5	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stabaek	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Molde	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Kristiansund	2	1	1	0	+5	4
5	Valerenga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Stromsgodset	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Viking	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Haugesund	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Brann	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Mjondalen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Odd	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Rosenborg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Start	4	0	2	2	-6	2
14	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Molde	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Brann	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Mjondalen	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Kristiansund	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Stromsgodset	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Valerenga	3	1	1	1	-2	4
8	Odd	2	1	0	1	+4	3
9	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Sandefjord	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Haugesund	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Start	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Stabaek	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Viking	3	0	1	2	-4	1
15	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.