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Ekstraklasa
Cracovia
T T S S T
1–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 46%
46%
46%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
46%
57%
Both score Ø 55%
49%
60%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Cracovia 6. · Lech Poznan 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 35 21 5 9 +36 68
2 Lech Poznan 35 16 12 7 +30 60
3 Piast Gliwice 35 18 6 11 +10 60
4 Slask Wroclaw 35 14 12 9 +7 54
5 Gornik Zabrze 36 14 11 11 +6 53
6 Cracovia 35 16 4 15 +10 52
7 Lechia Gdansk 35 14 10 11 -3 52
8 Wisla Plock 36 14 9 13 -8 51
9 Zaglebie 36 14 8 14 +6 50
10 Rakow 36 15 5 16 -6 50
11 Jagiellonia 35 13 10 12 +0 49
12 Pogon Szczecin 35 12 12 11 -4 48
13 Wisla 36 13 6 17 -11 45
14 Arka Gdynia 36 9 10 17 -19 37
15 Korona Kielce 36 8 8 20 -21 32
16 LKS Lodz 36 6 6 24 -33 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.