Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Cracovia
Lech Poznan
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
35 | 21 | 5 | 9 | +36 | 68 |
| 2 |
Lech Poznan
|
35 | 16 | 12 | 7 | +30 | 60 |
| 3 |
Piast Gliwice
|
35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | +10 | 60 |
| 4 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | +7 | 54 |
| 5 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | +6 | 53 |
| 6 |
Cracovia
|
35 | 16 | 4 | 15 | +10 | 52 |
| 7 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | -3 | 52 |
| 8 |
Wisla Plock
|
36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 51 |
| 9 |
Zaglebie
|
36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | +6 | 50 |
| 10 |
Rakow
|
36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | -6 | 50 |
| 11 |
Jagiellonia
|
35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | +0 | 49 |
| 12 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | -4 | 48 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 45 |
| 14 |
Arka Gdynia
|
36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | -19 | 37 |
| 15 |
Korona Kielce
|
36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -21 | 32 |
| 16 |
LKS Lodz
|
36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | -33 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Legia
Cracovia
Lechia Gdansk
Cracovia
Cracovia
Pogon Szczecin
Slask Wroclaw
Cracovia
Cracovia
Jagiellonia
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.