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Championship
Referee: Peter Bankes
West Brom
S S T T S
3–2
Full-time
Hull
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
This season — Championship · 40/42 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
58%
52%
Both score Ø 58%
68%
48%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match West Brom 4. · Hull 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 42 25 11 6 +34 86
2 Sheffield United 43 24 10 9 +32 82
3 Leeds 40 23 7 10 +22 76
4 West Brom 40 20 9 11 +23 69
5 Bristol City 42 18 12 12 +9 66
6 Aston Villa 39 17 14 8 +17 65
7 Middlesbrough 42 17 13 12 +8 64
8 Derby 38 17 12 9 +18 63
9 Hull 42 17 9 16 +2 60
10 Sheffield Weds 42 15 14 13 -3 59
11 Nott'm Forest 43 14 15 14 +2 57
12 Preston 42 15 12 15 +1 57
13 Swansea 41 16 8 17 +1 56
14 Brentford 43 14 13 16 +8 55
15 Birmingham 42 13 16 13 +4 55
16 Blackburn 42 14 11 17 -7 53
17 Stoke 42 11 19 12 -6 52
18 QPR 42 13 9 20 -15 48
19 Reading 43 10 15 18 -16 45
20 Millwall 42 10 13 19 -13 43
21 Wigan 42 10 12 20 -17 42
22 Rotherham 42 8 16 18 -26 40
23 Bolton 42 8 8 26 -43 32
24 Ipswich 42 4 16 22 -35 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

West Brom Hull
T. Adarabioyo 🔁
↦ Ahmed Hegazi
18′
35′
🔁 K. Stewart
↦ M. Henriksen
1–0 K. Gibbs
T. Adarabioyo
42′
Half-time 1–1
48′
T. Kane 1–1
D. Batty
51′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ R. Burke
59′
T. Kane 1–2
J. Irvine
M. Phillips 🔁
↦ R. Harper
62′
2–2 D. Gayle
C. Brunt
62′
Jacob Murphy 🔁
↦ H. Robson-Kanu
71′
76′
🔁 Evandro
↦ D. Batty
3–2 D. Gayle
Jacob Murphy
85′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

West Brom

3-5-2
1 S. Johnstone G
3 K. Gibbs D
25 C. Dawson D
26 Ahmed Hegazi D
5 K. Bartley D
68 M. Holgate D
11 C. Brunt M
6 S. Johansen M
34 R. Harper M
4 H. Robson-Kanu F
16 D. Gayle F
Bench (7)
24 T. Adarabioyo
10 M. Phillips
70 Jacob Murphy
8 J. Livermore
23 J. Bond
21 K. Edwards
14 C. Townsend

Coach: J. Shan

Hull

4-4-1-1
1 D. Marshall G
2 E. Lichaj D
4 J. de Wijs D
17 T. Kane D
5 R. Burke D
22 M. Henriksen M
16 J. Irvine M
18 D. Batty M
14 K. Grosicki M
25 F. Campbell F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
6 K. Stewart
27 R. McKenzie
7 Evandro
12 G. Long
29 C. Martin
36 L. Ridgewell
10 Jon Toral

Coach: N. Adkins

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Peter Bankes · 118 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.