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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Standard
S S S T S
1–3
Full-time
Genk
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 63%
63%
63%
Points per game
2,1
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
67%
63%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
63%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Corners 3
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 2. · Genk 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 24 15 6 3 +27 51
2 Standard 24 15 6 3 +23 51
3 Antwerp 24 16 1 7 +11 49
4 St Truiden 30 12 11 7 +11 47
5 Club Brugge 24 14 4 6 +26 46
6 Kortrijk 30 12 7 11 +2 43
7 Charleroi 30 12 6 12 +0 42
8 Gent 24 13 2 9 +13 41
9 Anderlecht 24 12 4 8 +6 40
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 11 7 12 +0 40
11 Waregem 30 8 9 13 -11 33
12 Eupen 30 10 2 18 -23 32
13 Cercle Brugge 30 7 7 16 -24 28
14 Beveren 30 5 12 13 -13 27
15 Oostende 30 6 9 15 -23 27
16 Lokeren 30 5 5 20 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Genk
13′
🟨 Sébastien Dewaest
Collins Fai 🟨
22′
41′
Bryan Heynen 0–1
Half-time 0–2
52′
Mbwana Samatta 0–2
Alen Halilović 🟨
62′
65′
🟨 Joakim Maehle
Maxime Lestienne 🔁
↦ Alen Halilović
75′
Merveille Bokadi 🔁
↦ Paul-José Mpoku
75′
79′
Leandro Trossard 0–3
1–3 Răzvan Marin
81′
86′
🔁 Dries Wouters
↦ Ruslan Malinovskyi
87′
🔁 Dieumerci Ndongala
↦ Leandro Trossard
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Standard

4-5-1
13 Guillermo Ochoa G
21 Collins Fai D
3 Zinho Vanheusden D
6 Miloš Kosanović D
34 Konstantinos Laifis D
10 Mehdi Carcela-González M
8 Gojko Cimirot M
11 Alen Halilović M
18 Răzvan Marin M
19 Moussa Djenepo M
40 Paul-José Mpoku F
Bench (9)
16 Arnaud Bodart
15 Sebastien Pocognoli
2 Reginal Goreux
29 Luis Pedro Cavanda
22 Maxime Lestienne
23 Senna Miangue
28 Samuel Bastien
20 Merveille Bokadi
31 William Balikwisha

Genk

4-3-3
1 Danny Vukovic G
31 Joakim Maehle M
6 Sébastien Dewaest D
33 Jhon Lucumi D
21 Jere Uronen D
25 Sander Berge M
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi M
28 Bryan Heynen M
7 Junya Ito M
10 Mbwana Samatta F
14 Leandro Trossard F
Bench (9)
30 Nordin Jackers
23 Rubin Seigers
4 Dries Wouters
2 Casper De Norre
45 Joseph Aidoo
11 Joseph Paintsil
20 Ivan Fiolić
77 Dieumerci Ndongala
93 Zinho Gano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.