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Ligue 1
Referee: Olivier Thual
Dijon
T T T S U
3–2
Full-time
Rennes
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 27%
19%
34%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
31%
59%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
12 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dijon 18. · Rennes 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 32 26 3 3 +66 81
2 Lille 32 19 7 6 +26 64
3 Lyon 32 16 8 8 +13 56
4 St Etienne 32 15 8 9 +11 53
5 Marseille 32 15 6 11 +6 51
6 Montpellier 32 12 12 8 +8 48
7 Reims 32 11 15 6 +0 48
8 Nice 32 13 9 10 -6 48
9 Strasbourg 32 10 14 8 +14 44
10 Nimes 32 12 7 13 +0 43
11 Rennes 32 11 10 11 +0 43
12 Angers 32 9 14 9 +1 41
13 Bordeaux 32 9 11 12 -4 38
14 Nantes 32 10 7 15 -4 37
15 Toulouse 32 8 11 13 -16 35
16 Monaco 32 7 11 14 -15 32
17 Amiens 32 8 8 16 -19 32
18 Dijon 32 6 7 19 -24 25
19 Guingamp 32 5 9 18 -34 24
20 Caen 32 4 11 17 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dijon Rennes
1–0 N. Aguerd
N. Sliti
20′
37′
🟨 Clément Grenier
Half-time 1–1
52′
A. Hunou 1–1
C. Grenier
2–1 B. Jeannot
55′
57′
🟨 Ismaila Sarr
61′
M. Niang 2–2
C. Grenier
Benjamin Jeannot 🟨
70′
Júlio Tavares 🔁
↦ B. Jeannot
71′
71′
🔁 J. Johansson
↦ C. Grenier
71′
🔁 B. Bourigeaud
↦ I. Sarr
F. Sammaritano 🔁
↦ N. Sliti
72′
77′
🟨 M'Baye Niang
Nayef Aguerd 🟨
79′
3–2 W. Saïd
F. Chafik
83′
87′
🔁 R. Del Castillo
↦ B. André
S. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ W. Saïd
89′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Dijon

4-3-3
1 R. Rúnarsson G
2 M. Alphonse D
26 F. Chafik D
18 C. Yamberé D
4 N. Aguerd D
15 F. Balmont M
20 R. Amalfitano M
14 J. Marié M
10 N. Sliti M
29 B. Jeannot F
9 W. Saïd F
Bench (7)
11 Júlio Tavares
7 F. Sammaritano
25 S. Coulibaly
22 Kwon Chang-Hoon
16 B. Allain
3 A. Bouka Moutou
28 S. Kaba

Coach: A. Kombouare

Rennes

4-2-3-1
40 T. Koubek G
3 D. Da Silva D
27 H. Traoré D
5 S. Doumbia D
20 G. Nyamsi D
18 H. Ben Arfa F
8 C. Grenier M
21 B. André M
23 A. Hunou F
11 M. Niang F
7 I. Sarr M
Bench (7)
6 J. Johansson
14 B. Bourigeaud
22 R. Del Castillo
19 A. Lauriente
26 J. Gelin
1 L. Badiashile
39 E. Camavinga

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Olivier Thual · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.