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Eliteserien

Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes

Molde

S S S S T

4–1

Full-time

Valerenga

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,8

1,7

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 65%

80%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

90%

40%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

3,9

2,3

Scored

2,9

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,9

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%

21 Shots 8

11 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 2. · Valerenga 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	10	0	0	+27	30
2	Molde	10	8	1	1	+19	25
3	Odd	11	6	1	4	+5	19
4	Valerenga	10	5	4	1	+3	19
5	Stabaek	10	4	4	2	+1	16
6	Kristiansund	11	3	6	2	+6	15
7	Rosenborg	10	4	3	3	+5	15
8	Brann	11	4	3	4	-2	15
9	Stromsgodset	11	4	3	4	-6	15
10	Haugesund	11	3	3	5	-9	12
11	Sarpsborg 08	11	3	2	6	-2	11
12	Viking	10	3	2	5	-5	11
13	Sandefjord	11	3	1	7	-10	10
14	Mjondalen	11	2	2	7	-5	8
15	Start	11	0	6	5	-9	6
16	Aalesund	11	1	3	7	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	5	5	0	0	+14	15
2	Molde	4	4	0	0	+10	12
3	Valerenga	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Stromsgodset	6	3	2	1	+0	11
5	Odd	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Kristiansund	5	2	2	1	+6	8
7	Brann	5	2	2	1	+4	8
8	Rosenborg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Stabaek	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Viking	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	1	3	+0	7
12	Sandefjord	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Haugesund	6	2	1	3	-4	7
14	Start	6	0	4	2	-6	4
15	Aalesund	6	1	1	4	-11	4
16	Mjondalen	5	1	0	4	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Molde	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Odd	5	3	0	2	+5	9
4	Stabaek	5	2	2	1	+0	8
5	Valerenga	5	2	2	1	-1	8
6	Rosenborg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Kristiansund	6	1	4	1	+0	7
8	Brann	6	2	1	3	-6	7
9	Mjondalen	6	1	2	3	-1	5
10	Haugesund	5	1	2	2	-5	5
11	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	Stromsgodset	5	1	1	3	-6	4
13	Viking	5	1	1	3	-7	4
14	Sandefjord	6	1	0	5	-8	3
15	Start	5	0	2	3	-3	2
16	Aalesund	5	0	2	3	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.