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Bundesliga
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Hertha
S U U U T
1–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 43%
48%
38%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
43%
48%
Both score Ø 48%
43%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
9 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 4. · Wolfsburg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 21 18 2 1 +43 56
2 Dortmund 21 15 3 3 +29 48
3 Leverkusen 21 10 5 6 +9 35
4 Hertha 21 10 5 6 +6 35
5 Schalke 04 21 10 3 8 +2 33
6 Mainz 21 10 3 8 +2 33
7 M'gladbach 21 10 2 9 +4 32
8 Wolfsburg 21 8 6 7 +3 30
9 FC Koln 21 7 8 6 -3 29
10 Hamburg 22 7 6 9 -5 27
11 Stuttgart 21 8 3 10 -8 27
12 FC Ingolstadt 04 21 7 5 9 -9 26
13 Darmstadt 21 6 6 9 -9 24
14 Ein Frankfurt 22 5 7 10 -10 22
15 Augsburg 21 5 6 10 -8 21
16 Werder Bremen 21 5 5 11 -17 20
17 Hoffenheim 21 2 9 10 -12 15
18 Hannover 21 4 2 15 -17 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Sep -15 Wolfsburg – Hertha 2–0

Match report

Hertha Wolfsburg
Vladimír Darida 🟨
10′
N. Stark 🔁
↦ S. Langkamp
36′
Per Ciljan Skjelbred 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
53′
M. Schäfer 0–1
Vieirinha
1–1 S. Kalou
60′
A. Baumjohann 🔁
↦ V. Darida
62′
Vedad Ibišević 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Ricardo Rodríguez
90′
🟨 Luiz Gustavo
91′
🔁 R. Knoche
↦ M. Arnold
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hertha

22 R. Jarstein G
28 F. Lustenberger M
15 S. Langkamp D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
25 J. Brooks D
3 P. Skjelbred M
24 G. Haraguchi M
6 V. Darida M
20 M. Weiser D
19 V. Ibišević F
8 S. Kalou M
Bench (7)
5 N. Stark
9 A. Baumjohann
1 T. Kraft
2 P. Pekarík
13 J. Hegeler
14 V. Stocker
17 T. Cigerci

Wolfsburg

28 K. Casteels G
25 Naldo D
4 M. Schäfer
15 C. Träsch M
18 Dante D
34 R. Rodriguez D
22 Luiz Gustavo M
8 Vieirinha M
27 M. Arnold M
10 J. Draxler M
11 M. Kruse F
Bench (6)
31 R. Knoche
16 Bruno Henrique
20 M. Grün
26 Felipe Lopes
32 L. Putaro
38 I. Azzaoui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sascha Stegemann · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.