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Bundesliga
Referee: Gunter Perl
Wolfsburg
S U S U
2–0
Full-time
Hertha
S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsburg 4. · Hertha 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 +12 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 4 0 0 +10 12
3 Mainz 5 3 0 2 +4 9
4 Wolfsburg 4 2 2 0 +4 8
5 Ein Frankfurt 4 2 1 1 +6 7
6 Schalke 04 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 +0 7
8 Hertha 4 2 1 1 +0 7
9 FC Koln 4 2 1 1 -1 7
10 FC Ingolstadt 04 4 2 1 1 -2 7
11 Darmstadt 4 1 3 0 +1 6
12 Hamburg 4 2 0 2 -2 6
13 Leverkusen 4 2 0 2 -2 6
14 Augsburg 4 0 1 3 -3 1
15 Hoffenheim 5 0 1 4 -6 1
16 Hannover 4 0 1 3 -6 1
17 Stuttgart 4 0 0 4 -7 0
18 M'gladbach 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsburg Hertha
19′
🟨 Marvin Plattenhardt
44′
🔁 N. Stark
↦ S. Langkamp
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Jarstein
↦ T. Kraft
Julian Draxler 🟨
57′
M. Arnold 🔁
↦ A. Schürrle
61′
B. Dost 🔁
↦ N. Bendtner
71′
1–0 B. Dost
D. Caligiuri
76′
77′
🔁 J. van den Bergh
↦ T. Cigerci
S. Jung 🔁
↦ M. Kruse
83′
88′
🟨 Fabian Lustenberger
2–0 B. Dost
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

1 D. Benaglio
25 Naldo D
4 M. Schäfer
15 C. Träsch M
18 Dante D
7 D. Caligiuri M
23 J. Guilavogui M
17 A. Schürrle M
10 J. Draxler M
3 N. Bendtner F
11 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
27 M. Arnold
12 B. Dost
24 S. Jung
5 T. Klose
20 M. Grün
34 R. Rodriguez
38 I. Azzaoui

Hertha

1 T. Kraft G
28 F. Lustenberger M
15 S. Langkamp D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
3 P. Skjelbred M
14 V. Stocker M
24 G. Haraguchi M
6 V. Darida M
17 T. Cigerci M
20 M. Weiser D
19 V. Ibišević F
Bench (7)
5 N. Stark
22 R. Jarstein
23 J. van den Bergh
8 S. Kalou
9 A. Baumjohann
13 J. Hegeler
34 M. Mittelstädt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gunter Perl · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.