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Bundesliga

Referee: Christian Dingert

Augsburg

S U T U U

1–3

Full-time

Dortmund

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,7

1,7

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 48%

23%

73%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

54%

65%

Both score Ø 58%

58%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

23% Possession 77%

7 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Augsburg 15. · Dortmund 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	27	22	3	2	+52	69
2	Dortmund	26	19	4	3	+36	61
3	Hertha	27	14	6	7	+10	48
4	Schalke 04	27	13	5	9	+4	44
5	M'gladbach	27	13	3	11	+10	42
6	Leverkusen	27	12	6	9	+6	42
7	Mainz	27	12	5	10	+2	41
8	Wolfsburg	27	10	8	9	+5	38
9	FC Koln	27	8	9	10	-6	33
10	FC Ingolstadt 04	27	8	9	10	-8	33
11	Stuttgart	27	9	5	13	-11	32
12	Hamburg	27	8	7	12	-7	31
13	Darmstadt	27	6	10	11	-13	28
14	Werder Bremen	27	7	7	13	-18	28
15	Augsburg	26	6	9	11	-8	27
16	Hoffenheim	27	6	9	12	-13	27
17	Ein Frankfurt	27	6	9	12	-14	27
18	Hannover	27	5	2	20	-27	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	12	0	1	+37	36
2	Dortmund	13	11	2	0	+27	35
3	M'gladbach	14	10	1	3	+16	31
4	Hertha	14	9	4	1	+12	31
5	Wolfsburg	14	8	4	2	+15	28
6	Schalke 04	14	8	3	3	+5	27
7	Mainz	13	7	2	4	+4	23
8	Leverkusen	13	6	3	4	+6	21
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	5	4	4	+1	19
10	Stuttgart	14	6	1	7	-3	19
11	Ein Frankfurt	14	4	6	4	-2	18
12	Hoffenheim	13	4	5	4	-2	17
13	Hamburg	14	4	4	6	-2	16
14	FC Koln	14	4	4	6	-3	16
15	Augsburg	13	2	5	6	-6	11
16	Werder Bremen	13	2	5	6	-8	11
17	Darmstadt	13	1	5	7	-13	8
18	Hannover	13	2	0	11	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	3	1	+15	33
2	Dortmund	13	8	2	3	+9	26
3	Leverkusen	14	6	3	5	+0	21
4	Darmstadt	14	5	5	4	+0	20
5	Mainz	14	5	3	6	-2	18
6	Schalke 04	13	5	2	6	-1	17
7	Hertha	13	5	2	6	-2	17
8	FC Koln	13	4	5	4	-3	17
9	Werder Bremen	14	5	2	7	-10	17
10	Augsburg	13	4	4	5	-2	16
11	Hamburg	13	4	3	6	-5	15
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	14	3	5	6	-9	14
13	Stuttgart	13	3	4	6	-8	13
14	M'gladbach	13	3	2	8	-6	11
15	Hannover	14	3	2	9	-14	11
16	Wolfsburg	13	2	4	7	-10	10
17	Hoffenheim	14	2	4	8	-11	10
18	Ein Frankfurt	13	2	3	8	-12	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.