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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Atalanta
U T U T T
2–0
Full-time
Bologna
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,0
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 29%
24%
34%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
38%
38%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 9
0 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Atalanta 15. · Bologna 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 29 21 4 4 +36 67
2 Napoli 29 19 7 3 +36 64
3 Roma 30 17 9 4 +31 60
4 Inter 30 16 7 7 +12 55
5 Fiorentina 29 16 6 7 +18 54
6 Milan 29 13 9 7 +9 48
7 Sassuolo 29 11 11 7 +4 44
8 Lazio 29 11 8 10 +0 41
9 Bologna 29 10 6 13 -3 36
10 Empoli 30 9 9 12 -8 36
11 Chievo 29 9 8 12 -6 35
12 Genoa 29 9 7 13 -3 34
13 Torino 29 8 9 12 -2 33
14 Sampdoria 29 8 8 13 -4 32
15 Atalanta 29 7 9 13 -9 30
16 Udinese 29 8 6 15 -19 30
17 Palermo 30 7 7 16 -23 28
18 Frosinone 29 7 5 17 -26 26
19 Carpi 29 5 10 14 -19 25
20 Verona 29 2 13 14 -24 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Nov -15 Bologna – Atalanta 3–0

Match report

Atalanta Bologna
1–0 A. Gómez
A. Diamanti
27′
Mauricio Pinilla 🟨
43′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 A. Diamanti
M. Pinilla
46′
46′
🔁 A. Mounier
↦ F. Brienza
50′
🟨 Emanuele Giaccherini
52′
🟨 Luca Rizzo
C. Raimondi 🔁
↦ A. Diamanti
54′
64′
🔁 R. Acquafresca
↦ L. Rizzo
71′
🔁 A. Masina
↦ A. Morleo
G. Migliaccio 🔁
↦ J. Kurtič
72′
77′
🟨 Daniele Gastaldello
78′
🟥 Ibrahima Mbaye
85′
🟨 Daniele Gastaldello
85′
🟥 Daniele Gastaldello
M. D'Alessandro 🔁
↦ A. Gómez
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Atalanta

57 M. Sportiello G
93 B. Dramé D
29 G. Paletta D
2 G. Stendardo D
5 A. Masiello D
21 L. Cigarini M
10 A. Gómez F
23 A. Diamanti F
15 M. de Roon M
27 J. Kurtič M
51 M. Pinilla F
Bench (12)
77 C. Raimondi
8 G. Migliaccio
7 M. D'Alessandro
11 R. Freuler
13 S. Gakpé
22 M. Borriello
24 A. Conti
28 D. Brivio
30 D. Bassi
33 N. Cherubin
45 G. Monachello
55 B. Djimsiti

Bologna

83 A. Mirante G
28 D. Gastaldello D
20 D. Maietta D
3 A. Morleo D
15 I. M'baye D
33 M. Brighi M
17 E. Giaccherini M
22 L. Rizzo M
21 A. Diawara M
23 F. Brienza F
99 S. Floccari F
Bench (12)
26 A. Mounier
18 R. Acquafresca
25 A. Masina
1 Angelo Da Costa
2 M. Oikonomou
5 E. Pulgar
6 L. Crisetig
8 S. Taïder
11 C. Zúñiga
24 A. Ferrari
30 G. Donsah
32 D. Stojanovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.