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Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Stieler

Dortmund

U S S S S

0–0

Full-time

Bayern Munich

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

0,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 79%

75%

83%

Points per game

2,4

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

71%

67%

Both score Ø 53%

63%

42%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

11 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 2. · Bayern Munich 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	24	20	2	2	+46	62
2	Dortmund	24	18	3	3	+34	57
3	Hertha	24	12	6	6	+9	42
4	Schalke 04	25	12	5	8	+5	41
5	M'gladbach	25	12	3	10	+8	39
6	Mainz	24	12	3	9	+4	39
7	Wolfsburg	25	10	7	8	+6	37
8	Leverkusen	25	10	6	9	+3	36
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	25	8	8	9	-7	32
10	Stuttgart	25	9	4	12	-9	31
11	FC Koln	25	7	9	9	-7	30
12	Hamburg	24	7	7	10	-6	28
13	Werder Bremen	25	7	6	12	-13	27
14	Augsburg	25	6	8	11	-8	26
15	Darmstadt	24	6	7	11	-13	25
16	Ein Frankfurt	25	5	9	11	-12	24
17	Hoffenheim	25	4	9	12	-16	21
18	Hannover	25	5	2	18	-24	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	11	0	1	+32	33
2	Dortmund	11	10	1	0	+25	31
3	M'gladbach	13	9	1	3	+13	28
4	Wolfsburg	13	8	3	2	+15	27
5	Hertha	12	7	4	1	+9	25
6	Schalke 04	13	7	3	3	+4	24
7	Mainz	12	7	1	4	+4	22
8	Stuttgart	13	6	1	6	-1	19
9	Leverkusen	12	5	3	4	+5	18
10	FC Ingolstadt 04	12	5	3	4	+1	18
11	FC Koln	13	4	4	5	-2	16
12	Ein Frankfurt	13	3	6	4	-3	15
13	Hoffenheim	12	3	5	4	-3	14
14	Hamburg	12	3	4	5	-2	13
15	Augsburg	13	2	5	6	-6	11
16	Werder Bremen	12	2	4	6	-8	10
17	Darmstadt	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	Hannover	12	2	0	10	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	2	1	+14	29
2	Dortmund	13	8	2	3	+9	26
3	Darmstadt	12	5	3	4	+0	18
4	Leverkusen	13	5	3	5	-2	18
5	Schalke 04	12	5	2	5	+1	17
6	Mainz	12	5	2	5	+0	17
7	Hertha	12	5	2	5	+0	17
8	Werder Bremen	13	5	2	6	-5	17
9	Augsburg	12	4	3	5	-2	15
10	Hamburg	12	4	3	5	-4	15
11	FC Koln	12	3	5	4	-5	14
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	13	3	5	5	-8	14
13	Stuttgart	12	3	3	6	-8	12
14	M'gladbach	12	3	2	7	-5	11
15	Hannover	13	3	2	8	-13	11
16	Wolfsburg	12	2	4	6	-9	10
17	Ein Frankfurt	12	2	3	7	-9	9
18	Hoffenheim	13	1	4	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.