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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Valeri

Frosinone

S U T S T

0–0

Full-time

Fiorentina

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 40%

24%

55%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

48%

52%

Both score Ø 54%

48%

59%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

31% Possession 69%

14 Shots 25

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 8

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

5 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Frosinone 18. · Fiorentina 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	29	21	4	4	+36	67
2	Napoli	29	19	7	3	+36	64
3	Roma	30	17	9	4	+31	60
4	Inter	30	16	7	7	+12	55
5	Fiorentina	29	16	6	7	+18	54
6	Milan	29	13	9	7	+9	48
7	Sassuolo	29	11	11	7	+4	44
8	Lazio	29	11	8	10	+0	41
9	Bologna	30	10	6	14	-5	36
10	Empoli	30	9	9	12	-8	36
11	Chievo	29	9	8	12	-6	35
12	Genoa	29	9	7	13	-3	34
13	Torino	29	8	9	12	-2	33
14	Atalanta	30	8	9	13	-7	33
15	Sampdoria	29	8	8	13	-4	32
16	Udinese	29	8	6	15	-19	30
17	Palermo	30	7	7	16	-23	28
18	Frosinone	29	7	5	17	-26	26
19	Carpi	29	5	10	14	-19	25
20	Verona	29	2	13	14	-24	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	14	11	3	0	+21	36
2	Juventus	14	11	2	1	+16	35
3	Roma	15	10	4	1	+22	34
4	Fiorentina	15	10	3	2	+17	33
5	Inter	15	10	2	3	+10	32
6	Milan	14	9	3	2	+9	30
7	Lazio	15	8	3	4	+10	27
8	Genoa	15	8	3	4	+7	27
9	Sassuolo	14	6	6	2	+3	24
10	Sampdoria	14	6	4	4	+6	22
11	Atalanta	15	6	4	5	+4	22
12	Torino	15	5	6	4	+5	21
13	Frosinone	15	6	3	6	-4	21
14	Chievo	14	4	6	4	+0	18
15	Bologna	15	4	5	6	+0	17
16	Empoli	15	4	5	6	-2	17
17	Carpi	15	4	5	6	-3	17
18	Palermo	15	4	3	8	-6	15
19	Udinese	14	4	3	7	-8	15
20	Verona	15	2	6	7	-9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	10	2	3	+20	32
2	Napoli	15	8	4	3	+15	28
3	Roma	15	7	5	3	+9	26
4	Inter	15	6	5	4	+2	23
5	Fiorentina	14	6	3	5	+1	21
6	Sassuolo	15	5	5	5	+1	20
7	Bologna	15	6	1	8	-5	19
8	Empoli	15	5	4	6	-6	19
9	Milan	15	4	6	5	+0	18
10	Chievo	15	5	2	8	-6	17
11	Udinese	15	4	3	8	-11	15
12	Lazio	14	3	5	6	-10	14
13	Palermo	15	3	4	8	-17	13
14	Torino	14	3	3	8	-7	12
15	Atalanta	15	2	5	8	-11	11
16	Sampdoria	15	2	4	9	-10	10
17	Carpi	14	1	5	8	-16	8
18	Genoa	14	1	4	9	-10	7
19	Verona	14	0	7	7	-15	7
20	Frosinone	14	1	2	11	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.